La escuela de los momios

Carolina Hurricanes v Columbus Blue Jackets

Inicio: 2026-04-02 23:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

38 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Carolina Hurricanes (Local)

Predicción 63.26%1.58momio equitativo
EV -1.95%
Ventaja -1.26%
Kelly -3.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.56%63.22%63.31%64.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.391.511.521.5571.94%66.03%65.79%64.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Columbus Blue Jackets (Visitante)

Predicción 36.74%2.72momio equitativo
EV -0.802%
Ventaja -0.297%
Kelly -0.472%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.42%36.78%36.69%38.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.582.602.7041.67%38.75%38.46%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -1.95%E -1.26%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-02 23:05
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.58%E -1.68%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -4.48%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-02 23:00
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -2.58%E -1.68%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -4.84%E -1.87%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-02 23:05
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -2.58%E -1.68%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -9.25%E -3.75%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 23:05
BetAnything1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.21%E -2.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.64%E -0.996%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-02 23:05
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.21%E -2.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.64%E -0.996%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-02 23:04
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -3.21%E -2.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-02 23:04
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -3.21%E -2.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-02 23:05
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.21%E -2.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.48%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-02 23:05
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.21%E -2.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.48%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-02 23:05
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.21%E -2.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -5.21%E -2.02%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 23:05
ReBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.21%E -2.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -5.21%E -2.02%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 22:59
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.21%E -2.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.31%E -2.48%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 23:04
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.21%E -2.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.21%E -2.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 23:04
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.21%E -2.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.21%E -2.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.99%E -4.08%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 23:05
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.21%E -2.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.99%E -4.08%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 23:05
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.84%E -2.53%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.31%E -2.48%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 23:05
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -3.84%E -2.53%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -6.68%E -2.63%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 23:05
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.84%E -2.53%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 23:05
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.48%E -2.97%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 23:05
Caesars1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.48%E -2.97%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -3.74%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 23:04
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.48%E -2.97%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.48%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 22:54
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.48%E -2.97%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.48%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 23:05
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.48%E -2.97%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.48%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 23:05
MyBookie.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.48%E -2.97%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.21%E -2.02%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 23:03
Hard Rock Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.48%E -2.97%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 23:04
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.11%E -3.41%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.802%E -0.297%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-02 23:05
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.11%E -3.41%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.64%E -0.996%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 23:05
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.11%E -3.41%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.48%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 23:05
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.11%E -3.41%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.31%E -2.48%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 23:05
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.11%E -3.41%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 23:04
Paddy Power1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.74%E -3.85%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -0.802%E -0.297%K -0.472%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.74%E -3.85%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -0.802%E -0.297%K -0.472%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 23:05
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.74%E -3.85%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -1.54%E -0.573%K -0.915%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 23:05
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -7.01%E -4.77%K -14.91%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -1.54%E -0.573%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 23:05
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 63.32%EV -12.07%E -8.68%K -30.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.68%EV -11.82%E -4.93%K -8.45%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-02 23:01
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-04-02 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-04-02 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-04-02 23:05
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-04-02 23:05
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-04-02 23:05
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88%1.6%2026-04-02 23:05
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-04-02 23:05
BetOpenly1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%2.3%2026-04-02 22:59
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%2.4%2026-04-02 23:05

Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)

Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.

CorredorOpción 1Opción 2Opción 3Margen ▲Actualizado
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.87%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56%3.1%2026-04-02 23:05
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.87%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56%3.1%2026-04-02 23:05
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.87%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56%3.1%2026-04-02 23:05
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 51.87%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56%3.1%2026-04-02 23:05
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.87%3.9%2026-04-02 23:05
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.57%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%4.6%2026-04-02 23:05
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.08%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.45%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.47%4.7%2026-04-02 22:59
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.23%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.78%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.99%4.9%2026-04-02 22:59
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.28%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.58%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%5.1%2026-04-02 23:04
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%5.1%2026-04-02 23:05
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%5.1%2026-04-02 23:04
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%5.1%2026-04-02 23:05
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%5.1%2026-04-02 23:05
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%6.7%2026-04-02 23:05
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%6.8%2026-04-02 23:05
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%7.7%2026-04-02 23:05
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%7.9%2026-04-02 22:59
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.59%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%8.6%2026-04-02 23:05
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%9.0%2026-04-02 23:05
Codere (IT)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.46%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%9.5%2026-04-02 23:01
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.39%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%10.2%2026-04-02 23:05
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.73%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.56%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%12.4%2026-04-02 23:05