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Calgary Flames v Los Angeles Kings
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Calgary Flames (Local)
Prediction 43.31%2.31fair odd
EV -0.380%
Edge -0.165%
Kelly -0.292%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.77%43.34%43.42%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.202.222.3050.00%45.42%45.05%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Los Angeles Kings (Visit)
Prediction 56.69%1.76fair odd
EV +2.04%
Edge +1.13%
Kelly +2.55%
Growth +0.052%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%56.66%56.58%58.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.691.691.8064.52%59.30%59.17%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Calgary Flames (Local): 43.31%; Los Angeles Kings (Visit): 56.69%. For Los Angeles Kings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.76. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.04%.
19 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -13.37%E -6.69%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +2.04%E +1.13%K +2.55%G +0.052% | 5.6% | 2026-03-25 01:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -13.37%E -6.69%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV +0.336%E +0.190%K +0.436%G +0.001% | 6.5% | 2026-03-25 01:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -11.21%E -5.47%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -0.798%E -0.456%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-25 00:58 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -3.07%E -1.79%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-25 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -3.07%E -1.79%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-25 01:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.07%E -1.79%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-25 00:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.07%E -1.79%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-25 01:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -5.14%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -3.07%E -1.79%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-25 00:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -1.25%E -0.547%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -3.63%E -2.14%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-25 01:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.84%E -1.73%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.63%E -2.14%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-25 01:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.58%E -2.56%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.63%E -2.14%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-25 01:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.44%E -2.98%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.63%E -2.14%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 01:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.88%E -3.20%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.63%E -2.14%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 01:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.88%E -3.20%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.63%E -2.14%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 00:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.88%E -3.20%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.63%E -2.14%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 01:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.55%E -1.13%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.20%E -2.48%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-25 01:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.55%E -1.13%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.20%E -2.48%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-25 00:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.55%E -1.13%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.20%E -2.48%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-25 00:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.55%E -1.13%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.20%E -2.48%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-25 01:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.20%E -2.48%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 00:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.20%E -2.48%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 01:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.01%E -2.77%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.20%E -2.48%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 00:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.77%E -2.84%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-25 00:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.77%E -2.84%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-25 01:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.88%E -3.20%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.77%E -2.84%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-25 00:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.55%E -1.13%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-25 01:03 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.55%E -1.13%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-25 01:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.55%E -1.13%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-25 01:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.380%E -0.165%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-25 01:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.380%E -0.165%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-25 01:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.380%E -0.165%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-25 00:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.55%E -1.13%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 00:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.55%E -1.13%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 00:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-25 01:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-25 01:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -1.25%E -0.547%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.03%E -4.29%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-25 00:57 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.42%EV -12.51%E -6.19%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.58%EV -12.14%E -7.83%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-25 01:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.49% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.51% | -0.0% | 2026-03-25 00:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00% | 0.2% | 2026-03-25 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-03-25 01:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-03-25 01:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 0.9% | 2026-03-25 01:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-03-25 01:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-03-25 01:04 |
| Novig◎ | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.68% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.32% | 1.4% | 2026-03-25 01:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14% | 2.3% | 2026-03-25 01:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (19)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.38% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19% | 2.7% | 2026-03-25 01:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.38% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19% | 2.7% | 2026-03-25 01:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.38% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19% | 2.7% | 2026-03-25 00:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.38% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19% | 2.7% | 2026-03-25 01:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.15% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.02% | 4.4% | 2026-03-25 01:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.89% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78% | 4.5% | 2026-03-25 00:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.87% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.10% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.04% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 00:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.14% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.24% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.62% | 4.8% | 2026-03-25 00:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.27% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13% | 5.4% | 2026-03-25 01:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.27% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13% | 5.4% | 2026-03-25 00:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.27% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13% | 5.4% | 2026-03-25 00:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98% | 6.2% | 2026-03-25 00:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35% | 6.5% | 2026-03-25 00:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.42% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.39% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19% | 7.8% | 2026-03-25 01:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03% | 8.1% | 2026-03-25 01:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.81% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45% | 8.6% | 2026-03-25 01:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30% | 8.6% | 2026-03-25 00:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 43.95% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25% | 8.9% | 2026-03-25 00:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.18% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.27% | 9.3% | 2026-03-25 01:04 |