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Calgary Flames v Carolina Hurricanes

Kickoff: 2026-10-19 00:09 UTC

Final: Calgary Flames 3–2 Carolina Hurricanes

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Calgary Flames (Local)

Prediction 35.20%2.84fair odd
EV +2.09%
Edge +0.720%
Kelly +1.10%
Growth +0.023%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.03%35.06%35.14%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.712.722.9038.46%36.92%36.76%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Carolina Hurricanes (Visit)

Prediction 64.80%1.54fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -4.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%64.94%64.86%66.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.471.481.5172.46%67.90%67.57%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Calgary Flames (Local): 35.20%; Carolina Hurricanes (Visit): 64.80%. For Calgary Flames (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.84. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.09%.

21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +2.09%E +0.720%K +1.10%G +0.023%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -7.34%E -5.13%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-18 23:05
Fliff🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.43%E -0.511%K -0.795%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.69%E -4.65%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-19 00:05
Pinnacle🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05%EV -2.14%E -0.768%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.95%EV -2.80%E -1.87%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-19 00:05
BetUS🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 35.06%EV -2.84%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.94%EV -3.45%E -2.32%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-19 00:04
Everygame🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -3.19%E -1.16%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.45%E -2.32%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-18 22:49
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.19%E -1.16%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.10%E -2.77%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-19 00:04
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.19%E -1.16%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.10%E -2.77%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-19 00:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.19%E -1.16%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.10%E -2.77%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-18 23:59
theScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.19%E -1.16%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.10%E -2.77%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-19 00:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.19%E -1.16%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.10%E -2.77%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-19 00:05
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.19%E -1.16%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.75%E -3.23%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-19 00:00
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.19%E -1.16%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.75%E -3.23%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-18 23:59
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.19%E -1.16%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.75%E -3.23%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-18 23:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.19%E -1.16%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.04%E -4.17%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 19:10
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.19%E -1.16%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.69%E -4.65%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 10:45
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.19%E -1.16%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.69%E -4.65%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 10:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.19%E -1.16%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.69%E -4.65%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 10:44
MyBookie.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -3.54%E -1.29%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -5.40%E -3.70%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 23:13
BetOnline.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -4.25%E -1.56%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -2.16%E -1.43%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-18 23:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -4.25%E -1.56%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -2.16%E -1.43%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-18 23:59
FanDuel🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -4.25%E -1.56%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -4.10%E -2.77%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-19 00:05
SportsBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -4.25%E -1.56%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -5.40%E -3.70%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-19 00:04
GTbets🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.95%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.80%E -1.87%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-19 00:00
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.95%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.80%E -1.87%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-19 00:00
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.95%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.45%E -2.32%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-18 23:59
Fanatics🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.95%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.45%E -2.32%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-18 23:59
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.95%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.10%E -2.77%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-18 23:59
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.95%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.10%E -2.77%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-18 23:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.95%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.10%E -2.77%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-19 00:00
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.95%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.10%E -2.77%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-19 00:00
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.71%E -2.53%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.10%E -2.77%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-19 00:04
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.71%E -2.53%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.10%E -2.77%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-19 00:04
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.71%E -2.53%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.10%E -2.77%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-19 00:04
ReBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.71%E -2.53%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.75%E -3.23%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-19 00:00
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -7.77%E -2.96%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -6.04%E -4.17%K -13.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 23:48
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -7.77%E -2.96%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -6.04%E -4.17%K -13.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 23:47
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.80%E -1.87%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.10%E -2.77%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 23:59
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.10%E -2.77%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 23:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.10%E -2.77%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-19 00:04
NetBet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -10.58%E -7.67%K -27.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-18 23:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%0.3%2026-10-19 00:05
Matchbook◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%0.5%2026-10-19 00:05
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-10-19 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-10-19 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-10-19 00:05
ProphetX◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-10-19 00:05
Polymarket◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-10-19 00:05
Smarkets◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%1.9%2026-10-19 00:05
BetOpenly◎2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%4.6%2026-10-18 23:59

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.38%1.7%2026-10-19 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%3.1%2026-10-18 23:59
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%3.1%2026-10-19 00:00
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%3.1%2026-10-19 00:00
1xBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.17%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.76%4.7%2026-10-18 23:59
Coolbet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%4.9%2026-10-18 23:59
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%4.9%2026-10-19 00:03
Casumo🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.77%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%5.5%2026-10-18 23:59
Unibet (NL)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.77%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%5.5%2026-10-18 23:59
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.77%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%5.5%2026-10-18 23:59
Grosvenor🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%6.8%2026-10-18 23:59
TABtouch🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%6.8%2026-10-18 23:59
Marathon Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%6.9%2026-10-19 00:05
Tipico (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%6.9%2026-10-18 20:20
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%8.3%2026-10-18 23:57
Winamax (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%8.8%2026-10-19 00:05
Codere (IT)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%9.4%2026-10-18 23:59
picklebet_au🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.94%9.8%2026-10-18 23:59
Winamax (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%11.4%2026-10-19 00:05
Betclic (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.29%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.95%12.5%2026-10-19 00:04
Unibet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 26.77%1.69I 59.17%NM 51.48%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.75%14.9%2026-10-18 23:59