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Calgary Flames v Anaheim Ducks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Calgary Flames (Local)
Prediction 47.57%2.10fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -0.975%
Kelly -1.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%47.59%47.51%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.002.002.0653.19%50.05%50.00%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Anaheim Ducks (Visit)
Prediction 52.43%1.91fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.760%
Kelly -1.62%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%52.41%52.49%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.821.831.8858.14%54.89%54.64%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Calgary Flames (Local): 47.57%; Anaheim Ducks (Visit): 52.43%. For Anaheim Ducks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.91. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.88, with an expected value of -1.43%; they did not produce positive expected value.
19 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -2.01%E -0.975%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-10-11 01:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 21:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 02:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.96%E -1.45%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-11 01:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.91%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-11 02:01 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.91%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-11 01:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.91%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-11 01:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.91%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -1.43%E -0.760%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-11 01:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -1.43%E -0.760%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-11 01:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-10 13:58 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-11 01:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-11 01:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-10 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 23:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.10%E -2.82%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 01:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.10%E -2.82%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 01:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-11 01:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-11 01:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-11 02:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-11 01:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.20%E -4.07%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-11 02:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -5.34%E -2.68%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 01:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.81%E -2.94%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-11 01:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.81%E -2.94%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.81%E -2.94%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -6.29%E -3.19%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -3.53%E -1.92%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 23:01 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -6.29%E -3.19%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -3.53%E -1.92%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 02:01 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.95%E -1.04%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 00:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.95%E -1.04%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.78%EV -10.57%E -5.62%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.22%EV -9.82%E -5.71%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-10 19:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00% | 0.2% | 2026-10-10 22:25 |
| Novig◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-10-11 02:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-10-11 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-10-11 02:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 1.1% | 2026-10-11 01:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53% | 1.3% | 2026-10-11 02:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.59% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.41% | 1.5% | 2026-10-11 02:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17% | 2.5% | 2026-10-11 00:40 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (19)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.39% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.28% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33% | 1.8% | 2026-10-11 01:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.98% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.69% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33% | 2.9% | 2026-10-11 01:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.98% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.69% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33% | 2.9% | 2026-10-11 01:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.98% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.69% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33% | 2.9% | 2026-10-11 01:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.43% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.77% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81% | 4.4% | 2026-10-11 01:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.93% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.48% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.59% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 01:58 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 01:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 01:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 01:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 01:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.55% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.86% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 02:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.24% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43% | 6.1% | 2026-10-11 01:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.68% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75% | 6.9% | 2026-10-10 23:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75% | 8.2% | 2026-10-11 02:01 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.39% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.70% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90% | 8.7% | 2026-10-11 02:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.58% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81% | 9.2% | 2026-10-11 02:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.91% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.03% | 10.6% | 2026-10-11 02:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.44% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.52% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.04% | 12.0% | 2026-10-11 02:03 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.10% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.55% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.35% | 14.7% | 2026-10-11 01:55 |