The School of Odds
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Calgary Flames v Anaheim Ducks

Kickoff: 2026-03-27 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Calgary Flames (Local)

Prediction 45.48%2.20fair odd
EV +0.065%
Edge +0.030%
Kelly +0.054%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.59%45.28%45.45%46.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.102.102.2051.28%47.52%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anaheim Ducks (Visit)

Prediction 54.52%1.83fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -3.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.95%54.72%54.55%56.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.751.751.7962.50%57.19%57.14%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Calgary Flames (Local): 45.48%; Anaheim Ducks (Visit): 54.52%. For Calgary Flames (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.199. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.200, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.065%.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +0.065%E +0.030%K +0.054%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -7.32%E -4.31%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 22:49
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +0.065%E +0.030%K +0.054%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -7.32%E -4.31%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 22:50
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +0.065%E +0.030%K +0.054%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -7.32%E -4.31%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 22:50
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.21%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.42%E -1.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-27 00:05
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.21%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.14%E -2.96%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-26 20:35
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.21%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.14%E -2.96%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-26 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -2.66%E -1.24%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -2.96%E -1.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-26 22:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -2.66%E -1.24%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -2.96%E -1.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-26 22:24
ReBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -3.12%E -1.46%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -4.05%E -2.30%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 00:04
Bet Right🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.12%E -1.46%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 00:04
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 19:15
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 19:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 19:15
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 00:34
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 19:15
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 21:14
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 18:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 19:29
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 19:53
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 18:19
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 19:14
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.05%E -2.30%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 00:34
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 18:14
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 19:27
MyBookie.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.14%E -2.96%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 19:39
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 16:04
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.78%E -3.96%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-26 23:24
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 22:00
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 00:35
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 00:35
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 00:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 00:34
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-26 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-26 21:14
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-26 21:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.07%EV -11.31%E -5.80%K -11.90%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 54.93%EV -12.77%E -7.98%K -21.29%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-27 00:03
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎2.26I 44.25%NM 44.74%1.83I 54.64%NM 55.26%-1.1%2026-03-27 00:35
Novig◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-03-27 00:35
ProphetX◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-03-27 00:35
Polymarket◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-03-26 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-03-27 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-03-27 00:05
Matchbook◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-03-27 00:05
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%1.7%2026-03-27 00:35
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-03-26 18:30

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.87%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.10%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%3.1%2026-03-26 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.87%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.10%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%3.1%2026-03-26 22:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.87%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.10%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%3.1%2026-03-26 22:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.87%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.10%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%3.1%2026-03-26 22:45
1xBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.73%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.02%3.2%2026-03-27 00:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.34%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.31%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.36%4.0%2026-03-26 19:40
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.20%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.53%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.27%4.4%2026-03-26 18:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.21%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.06%4.7%2026-03-27 00:34
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%5.4%2026-03-26 22:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%5.4%2026-03-26 22:45
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%5.4%2026-03-26 22:49
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%5.4%2026-03-26 22:50
TABtouch🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.22%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%6.3%2026-03-26 22:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%6.6%2026-03-26 19:45
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%7.4%2026-03-26 22:50
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%7.9%2026-03-26 19:40
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.09%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%7.9%2026-03-26 22:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.09%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%7.9%2026-03-26 22:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.60%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.04%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%9.1%2026-03-26 19:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%9.2%2026-03-26 19:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.38%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%9.7%2026-03-26 19:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.41%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.65%10.9%2026-03-27 00:34