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Buffalo Sabres v Utah Mammoth
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Buffalo Sabres (Local)
Prediction 49.47%2.02fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -0.781%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.43%49.46%49.47%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.931.931.9954.64%51.80%51.81%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Utah Mammoth (Visit)
Prediction 50.53%1.98fair odd
EV -3.49%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -3.83%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.54%50.53%51.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.881.881.9156.50%53.29%53.19%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Buffalo Sabres (Local): 49.47%; Utah Mammoth (Visit): 50.53%. For Buffalo Sabres (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.02. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.99, with an expected value of -1.55%; they did not produce positive expected value.
19 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97%EV -1.55%E -0.781%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%EV -3.49%E -1.83%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-10-10 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.10%EV -2.54%E -1.29%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.90%EV -3.99%E -2.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-10 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.10%EV -2.54%E -1.29%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.90%EV -3.99%E -2.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-10 23:01 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.54%E -1.29%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.52%E -3.52%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-10 23:01 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.04%E -1.55%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -5.00%E -2.66%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 22:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.04%E -1.55%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -5.51%E -2.95%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-10 17:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.53%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.51%E -2.95%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-10 17:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.53%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.51%E -2.95%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-10 20:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.53%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.51%E -2.95%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-10 14:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.53%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.51%E -2.95%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-10 14:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.53%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.51%E -2.95%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-10 22:48 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -3.53%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -6.01%E -3.23%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 17:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.53%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.52%E -3.52%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 22:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.53%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.52%E -3.52%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.53%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.52%E -3.52%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 17:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.53%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.52%E -3.52%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 21:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.52%E -2.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.49%E -1.83%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.52%E -2.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.49%E -1.83%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.52%E -2.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.49%E -1.83%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 22:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.52%E -2.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.50%E -2.38%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 16:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.52%E -2.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.00%E -2.66%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.02%E -2.61%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.00%E -2.66%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.02%E -2.61%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.00%E -2.66%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.02%E -2.61%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.00%E -2.66%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 22:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.02%E -2.61%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -5.51%E -2.95%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-10 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.02%E -2.61%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.52%E -3.52%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 17:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.02%E -2.61%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.52%E -3.52%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 17:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.51%E -2.89%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.83%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 13:58 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.51%E -2.89%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.83%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.51%E -2.89%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.83%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.51%E -2.89%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.83%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.51%E -2.89%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.83%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 23:01 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.51%E -2.89%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.83%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 23:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.51%E -2.89%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.53%E -4.12%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 23:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.01%E -3.16%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.99%E -2.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 23:03 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.01%E -3.16%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.99%E -2.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.01%E -3.16%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.52%E -3.52%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-10 22:48 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.01%E -3.16%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.52%E -3.52%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-10 23:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.17%EV -9.47%E -5.17%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.83%EV -10.56%E -5.97%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-10 22:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-10-10 23:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 0.6% | 2026-10-10 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-10-10 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-10-10 23:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-10-10 23:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.98% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.02% | 1.6% | 2026-10-10 23:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64% | 2.3% | 2026-10-10 23:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15% | 2.4% | 2026-10-10 22:59 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (19)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.47% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.24% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.29% | 1.9% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.25% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.33% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.42% | 2.5% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.25% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.33% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.42% | 2.5% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.25% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.33% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.42% | 2.5% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.90% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.90% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.20% | 4.5% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.25% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.51% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.6% | 2026-10-10 22:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.71% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.16% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 23:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.19% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.20% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40% | 6.3% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.81% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.57% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04% | 8.0% | 2026-10-10 23:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.18% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46% | 8.6% | 2026-10-10 22:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.74% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.58% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68% | 9.8% | 2026-10-10 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.20% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.90% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90% | 11.4% | 2026-10-10 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.12% | 11.6% | 2026-10-10 23:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.90% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.04% | 14.2% | 2026-10-10 22:35 |