A Escola das Odds

Buffalo Sabres v Tampa Bay Lightning

Início: 2026-04-06 23:07 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Buffalo Sabres (Local)

Previsão 48.23%2.07odd justa
EV -2.58%
Vantagem -1.28%
Kelly -2.53%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.37%48.42%48.16%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.831.971.962.0254.64%50.88%50.89%49.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tampa Bay Lightning (Visitante)

Previsão 51.77%1.93odd justa
EV -1.11%
Vantagem -0.582%
Kelly -1.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%51.58%51.84%52.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.851.851.9158.82%54.12%54.05%52.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.58%E -1.28%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.15%E -1.14%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-06 22:40
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%EV -2.58%E -1.28%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%EV -3.70%E -1.99%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-06 22:30
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%EV -2.58%E -1.28%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%EV -3.70%E -1.99%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-06 22:25
DraftKings2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.58%E -1.28%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.77%E -3.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 16:30
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.55%E -1.77%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:00
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.55%E -1.77%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.55%E -1.77%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 15:25
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.55%E -1.77%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 15:25
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.55%E -1.77%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 14:38
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.55%E -1.77%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 23:00
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.55%E -1.77%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 14:40
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.55%E -1.77%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 20:40
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.55%E -1.77%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 20:14
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.55%E -1.77%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 23:05
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.51%E -2.28%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.70%E -1.99%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 22:40
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.51%E -2.28%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 15:25
Everygame1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.51%E -2.28%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 17:09
ReBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -5.00%E -2.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -2.66%E -1.42%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 22:40
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.00%E -2.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 21:59
BetAnything1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -5.48%E -2.79%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -3.70%E -1.99%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 22:25
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.96%E -3.06%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.18%E -1.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 22:45
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.96%E -3.06%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.18%E -1.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 22:59
MyBookie.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.96%E -3.06%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -3.70%E -1.99%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:48
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.96%E -3.06%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 20:49
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.96%E -3.06%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:49
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.96%E -3.06%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:50
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.96%E -3.06%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 23:05
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.96%E -3.06%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 20:54
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.96%E -3.06%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.96%E -3.06%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 15:25
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.96%E -3.06%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 23:05
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.96%E -3.06%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 22:50
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.89%E -4.13%K -8.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.11%E -0.582%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-06 22:40
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.89%E -4.13%K -8.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.11%E -0.582%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-06 22:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.89%E -4.13%K -8.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.11%E -0.582%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-06 22:40
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.37%E -4.41%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.63%E -0.857%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:40
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.37%E -4.41%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.63%E -0.857%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 23:00
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -11.75%E -6.42%K -14.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.84%EV -11.98%E -7.05%K -17.12%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-06 22:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%0.0%2026-04-06 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-04-06 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-04-06 23:05
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-06 22:45
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-06 18:19
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-06 23:05
ProphetX2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%1.4%2026-04-06 23:05
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%1.7%2026-04-06 23:05
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-04-06 23:00

Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (22)

Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.

Casa de apostasOpção 1Opção 2Opção 3Margem ▲Atualização
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.56%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%3.2%2026-04-06 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.56%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%3.2%2026-04-06 21:59
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 36.56%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%3.2%2026-04-06 22:00
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.56%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%3.2%2026-04-06 22:00
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.44%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%3.6%2026-04-06 23:00
Marathon Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.53%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.26%4.5%2026-04-06 22:59
1xBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.89%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.12%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.00%4.7%2026-04-06 22:55
Coolbet2.57I 38.91%NM 36.96%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%5.3%2026-04-06 22:44
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.49%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%5.4%2026-04-06 22:00
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.49%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%5.4%2026-04-06 22:00
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.49%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%5.4%2026-04-06 21:55
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.49%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%5.4%2026-04-06 21:59
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%6.7%2026-04-06 22:49
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.60%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.06%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%7.1%2026-04-06 21:59
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%7.7%2026-04-06 22:00
Betway2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%7.7%2026-04-06 23:00
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.77%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.85%8.1%2026-04-06 22:49
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.75%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%8.8%2026-04-06 23:00
Codere (IT)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%9.1%2026-04-06 22:50
Betclic (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 36.73%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.87%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.40%10.2%2026-04-06 23:04
PMU (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.07%12.6%2026-04-06 21:55
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.10%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.55%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.35%14.7%2026-04-06 23:00