默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Buffalo Sabres v Tampa Bay Lightning

2026-11-12 00:10 UTC — NHL

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

46%

54%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Buffalo Sabres (主队)

预测 46.42%2.15公平赔率

EV -1.13%

优势 -0.528%

Kelly -0.996%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.13

博彩公司预测分布

45.17%46.35%46.38%47.15%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.002.062.052.1350.00%48.66%48.78%46.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

Tampa Bay Lightning (客队)

预测 53.58%1.87公平赔率

EV -2.48%

优势 -1.37%

Kelly -3.03%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.82

博彩公司预测分布

52.85%53.65%53.62%54.83%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.731.781.801.8257.80%56.26%55.56%54.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Buffalo Sabres (主队)：46.42%；Tampa Bay Lightning (客队)：53.58%。对于“Buffalo Sabres (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.15。没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为2.13，期望值为-1.13%，未产生正期望值。

有 17 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -1.13%E -0.528%K -0.996%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV -4.09%E -2.29%K -5.18%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-11-10 19:40
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.52%E -1.20%K -2.29%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-11-10 19:25
LowVig.ag🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.52%E -1.20%K -2.29%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-11-10 19:25
Bovada🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.52%E -1.20%K -2.29%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.16%E -2.92%K -6.71%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-10 19:23
888sport🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.52%E -1.20%K -2.29%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.31%E -4.22%K -10.01%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-11-10 18:59
William Hill🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.52%E -1.20%K -2.29%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.31%E -4.22%K -10.01%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-11-10 18:59
888sport (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.52%E -1.20%K -2.29%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.31%E -4.22%K -10.01%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-11-10 18:59
Betsson🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.91%E -1.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.24%E -3.56%K -8.31%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-10 19:34
NordicBet🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.91%E -1.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.24%E -3.56%K -8.31%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-10 19:35
Bet Right🎯	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.37%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-10 17:35
DraftKings🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.84%E -2.36%K -4.61%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-10 16:25
Fanatics🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.84%E -2.36%K -4.61%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-10 19:40
BetRivers🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.84%E -2.36%K -4.61%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-10 19:20
Bally Bet🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.84%E -2.36%K -4.61%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-10 19:19
betPARX🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.84%E -2.36%K -4.61%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-10 19:20
GTbets🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.84%E -2.36%K -4.61%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-10 16:50
Paddy Power🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.84%E -2.36%K -4.61%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-10 19:04
BetUS🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.84%E -2.36%K -4.61%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-10 19:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.84%E -2.36%K -4.61%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-10 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.84%E -2.36%K -4.61%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-10 19:15
Coral🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.84%E -2.36%K -4.61%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-10 19:14
BetMGM🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.84%E -2.36%K -4.61%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.16%E -2.92%K -6.71%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-10 19:25
PlayUp🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.84%E -2.36%K -4.61%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.16%E -2.92%K -6.71%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-10 19:25
TAB🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.84%E -2.36%K -4.61%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.16%E -2.92%K -6.71%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-10 19:30
Betr (AU)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.84%E -2.36%K -4.61%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.24%E -3.56%K -8.31%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-10 16:24
Caesars🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -5.30%E -2.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -2.48%E -1.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-11-10 17:35
FanDuel🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.30%E -2.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-10 19:05
SportsBet🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.23%E -3.08%K -6.11%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-10 19:33
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -6.23%E -3.08%K -6.11%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.16%E -2.92%K -6.71%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-10 19:20
Neds🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -6.23%E -3.08%K -6.11%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.16%E -2.92%K -6.71%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-10 19:20
betano_uk🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.16%E -3.58%K -7.16%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.31%E -4.22%K -10.01%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-11-10 19:00
Bet Victor🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.16%E -3.58%K -7.16%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.31%E -4.22%K -10.01%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-11-10 18:59
ReBet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.16%E -3.58%K -7.16%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.31%E -4.22%K -10.01%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-11-10 19:29

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Polymarket◎	2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%	1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%	1.0%	2026-11-10 16:25
Kalshi◎	2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%	1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%	1.9%	2026-11-10 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%	1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%	2.1%	2026-11-10 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%	1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%	2.1%	2026-11-10 19:20
Smarkets◎	1.96I 51.02%NM 46.30%	1.69I 59.17%NM 53.70%	10.2%	2026-11-10 19:00

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (17)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%	3.1%	2026-11-10 19:20
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%	3.1%	2026-11-10 19:20
ATG (SE)🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%	3.1%	2026-11-10 19:19
Svenska Spel🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%	3.1%	2026-11-10 19:20
1xBet🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 35.24%	2.27I 44.05%NM 42.69%	4.39I 22.78%NM 22.07%	3.2%	2026-11-10 19:25
Marathon Bet🎯	2.71I 36.90%NM 35.26%	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.66%	4.33I 23.09%NM 22.07%	4.6%	2026-11-10 19:25
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%	5.3%	2026-11-10 19:20
Unibet🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%	5.3%	2026-11-10 19:19
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.65%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.28%	5.6%	2026-11-10 18:59
TABtouch🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.47%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%	6.4%	2026-11-10 19:19
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%	2.17I 46.08%NM 42.30%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%	8.9%	2026-11-10 18:57
Codere (IT)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%	2.17I 46.08%NM 42.30%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%	8.9%	2026-11-10 19:00
picklebet_au🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%	10.0%	2026-11-10 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%	10.6%	2026-11-10 19:00
Grosvenor🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 35.35%	2.14I 46.73%NM 42.12%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%	10.9%	2026-11-10 19:15
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 35.21%	2.05I 48.78%NM 42.08%	3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%	15.9%	2026-11-10 19:00
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 35.52%	2.00I 50.00%NM 42.62%	3.90I 25.64%NM 21.86%	17.3%	2026-11-10 19:00