La scuola delle quote

Buffalo Sabres v Montréal Canadiens

Inizio: 2026-05-18 23:40 UTC

Finale: Buffalo Sabres 2–3 Montréal Canadiens

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

35 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Buffalo Sabres (Casa)

Previsione 51.62%1.94quota equa
EV -1.92%
Vantaggio -1.01%
Kelly -2.13%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.52%51.65%51.70%52.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.851.851.9058.82%54.15%54.05%52.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Montréal Canadiens (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.38%2.07quota equa
EV -1.31%
Vantaggio -0.642%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.04

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.37%48.35%48.30%49.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.831.971.972.0454.64%50.81%50.76%49.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

20 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -1.92%E -1.01%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -3.24%E -1.62%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-18 23:20
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -2.43%E -1.29%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%EV -4.21%E -2.13%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-18 23:20
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -2.43%E -1.29%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%EV -4.21%E -2.13%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-18 23:20
Bovada1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.43%E -1.29%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.63%E -3.44%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 23:29
theScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -2.95%E -1.57%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -1.31%E -0.642%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-18 22:30
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -3.47%E -1.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -5.18%E -2.64%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 22:15
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.47%E -1.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 22:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.47%E -1.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 22:15
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.47%E -1.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 23:30
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.47%E -1.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 23:10
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.47%E -1.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 19:50
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.98%E -2.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.21%E -2.13%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 23:20
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.50%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.24%E -1.62%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 19:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.50%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.24%E -1.62%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 19:25
ReBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -4.50%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -3.73%E -1.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 23:28
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.50%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.21%E -2.13%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 19:25
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.50%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.21%E -2.13%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 13:15
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.50%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.18%E -2.64%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 22:15
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.50%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.18%E -2.64%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 23:30
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.50%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.18%E -2.64%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 23:30
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.50%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 19:25
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.50%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:40
BetAnything1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -5.02%E -2.73%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.73%E -1.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 22:00
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.28%E -1.13%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 23:20
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.28%E -1.13%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 23:20
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.24%E -1.62%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 13:20
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.24%E -1.62%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 23:30
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.24%E -1.62%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 13:15
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.70%E -2.38%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 23:18
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 19:25
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 19:25
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.60%E -3.98%K -8.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 23:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.08%E -3.93%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.24%E -1.62%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 22:39
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.08%E -3.93%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.08%E -4.25%K -8.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 23:20
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.84%EV -12.24%E -7.20%K -17.49%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -11.47%E -6.27%K -13.82%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-18 22:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%0.1%2026-05-18 23:20
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.88%2.03I 49.26%NM 49.12%0.3%2026-05-18 23:30
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-05-18 23:30
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-05-18 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-05-18 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-05-18 23:30
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-18 23:30
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.4%2026-05-18 23:30

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (20)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.02%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.14%3.3%2026-05-18 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.02%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.14%3.3%2026-05-18 23:20
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 39.02%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.14%3.3%2026-05-18 23:20
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.02%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.14%3.3%2026-05-18 23:19
Marathon Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.81%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.17%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.02%4.7%2026-05-18 23:29
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%4.7%2026-05-18 23:30
1xBet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.28%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.15%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.57%4.7%2026-05-18 23:10
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.71%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.38%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.91%4.9%2026-05-18 21:40
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 39.12%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.87%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%5.2%2026-05-18 23:20
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.12%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.87%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%5.2%2026-05-18 23:19
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.12%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.87%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%5.2%2026-05-18 23:20
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 39.12%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.87%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%5.2%2026-05-18 23:20
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.08%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%6.2%2026-05-18 23:30
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.75%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%6.4%2026-05-18 23:20
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%6.9%2026-05-18 04:10
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.14%7.5%2026-05-18 23:20
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%7.6%2026-05-18 23:30
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%7.6%2026-05-18 23:29
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%8.2%2026-05-18 23:20
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.04%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.89%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.07%12.4%2026-05-18 23:20