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Buffalo Sabres v Florida Panthers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Buffalo Sabres (Local)
Prediction 51.34%1.95fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -2.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.45%51.32%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.861.851.9157.80%53.82%53.91%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Florida Panthers (Visit)
Prediction 48.66%2.06fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.603%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%48.55%48.68%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.951.952.0354.05%51.25%51.28%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Buffalo Sabres (Local): 51.34%; Florida Panthers (Visit): 48.66%. For Florida Panthers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.06. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.03, with an expected value of -1.22%; they did not produce positive expected value.
20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.94%E -1.01%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-12 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.94%E -1.01%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-11 18:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.96%E -1.57%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.09%E -3.16%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-12 16:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.48%E -1.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.22%E -0.603%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-10-12 16:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.48%E -1.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.68%E -1.34%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-12 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.48%E -1.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.68%E -1.34%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-12 16:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -3.99%E -2.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.14%E -2.10%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-12 16:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.99%E -2.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-12 15:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.99%E -2.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-12 15:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.99%E -2.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-12 17:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.99%E -2.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-12 14:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.99%E -2.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-12 14:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.99%E -2.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-12 15:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.99%E -2.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-12 15:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.99%E -2.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-12 15:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.99%E -2.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-12 15:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.50%E -2.42%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-12 17:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.50%E -2.42%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.60%E -2.89%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 15:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.50%E -2.42%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.60%E -2.89%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 15:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.14%E -2.10%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-12 16:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.14%E -2.10%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-12 17:03 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.14%E -2.10%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-12 17:03 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.14%E -2.10%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-12 16:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 15:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 15:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 16:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 16:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 17:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 15:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 15:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 17:02 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.60%E -2.89%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-12 17:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.58%E -3.43%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-12 15:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.58%E -3.43%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-12 15:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.04%E -3.30%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.68%E -1.34%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-12 16:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.04%E -3.30%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.68%E -1.34%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-12 16:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.04%E -3.30%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-12 17:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.68%EV -11.18%E -6.46%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.32%EV -9.98%E -5.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-12 16:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-10-12 17:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99% | 0.7% | 2026-10-12 17:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-10-12 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-10-12 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-10-12 17:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-10-12 15:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-10-12 16:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96% | 2.2% | 2026-10-12 17:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57% | 4.0% | 2026-10-12 16:14 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.79% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.52% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.69% | 1.3% | 2026-10-12 17:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.29% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.81% | 3.1% | 2026-10-12 17:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.29% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.81% | 3.1% | 2026-10-12 17:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.29% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.81% | 3.1% | 2026-10-12 17:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.49% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.92% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.59% | 4.6% | 2026-10-12 16:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74% | 4.7% | 2026-10-12 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67% | 5.0% | 2026-10-12 17:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67% | 5.0% | 2026-10-12 17:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67% | 5.0% | 2026-10-12 17:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67% | 5.0% | 2026-10-12 17:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 16:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.35% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.08% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57% | 6.8% | 2026-10-12 17:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-10-12 13:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81% | 6.9% | 2026-10-12 17:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07% | 8.4% | 2026-10-12 16:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.52% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.27% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21% | 9.1% | 2026-10-12 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.69% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27% | 9.5% | 2026-10-12 16:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.22% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.71% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07% | 10.5% | 2026-10-12 16:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.77% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.28% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94% | 11.8% | 2026-10-12 17:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.51% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.99% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.49% | 15.0% | 2026-10-12 16:35 |