L’École des cotes

Boston Bruins v Washington Capitals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 17:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Boston Bruins (Local)

Prévision 54.31%1.84cote équitable
EV -2.23%
Avantage -1.24%
Kelly -2.79%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.25%54.59%54.26%56.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.581.751.771.8063.29%57.06%56.50%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Washington Capitals (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.69%2.19cote équitable
EV +1.42%
Avantage +0.641%
Kelly +1.17%
Croissance +0.017%

avec la cote maximale 2.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.22%45.41%45.74%46.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.972.092.102.2250.76%47.74%47.62%45.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

20 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -8.21%E -4.86%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV +1.42%E +0.641%K +1.17%G +0.017%4.2%2026-03-07 17:20
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -6.58%E -3.83%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -0.862%E -0.397%K -0.737%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 17:34
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -6.58%E -3.83%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -0.862%E -0.397%K -0.737%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 17:35
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.12%E -4.17%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.32%E -0.611%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 17:29
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.78%E -1.55%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.78%E -0.826%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-07 17:34
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.95%E -2.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -2.69%E -1.26%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 17:34
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.95%E -2.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.15%E -1.48%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 17:34
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.49%E -3.16%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -3.60%E -1.71%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 17:34
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.23%E -1.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 17:34
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.23%E -1.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 17:34
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 17:35
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 17:34
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 17:34
Paddy Power1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 17:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 17:34
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 17:35
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 17:34
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 17:34
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 17:35
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 17:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.95%E -2.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 17:34
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.95%E -2.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 17:34
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.04%E -3.49%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 17:34
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.12%E -4.17%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 17:35
FanDuel1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.32%E -1.87%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.89%E -2.86%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 17:34
SportsBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.89%E -2.86%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 17:34
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.23%E -1.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.34%E -3.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 17:34
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.34%E -3.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 17:35
NordicBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.34%E -3.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 17:34
Betsson1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.34%E -3.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 17:34
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.95%E -2.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.34%E -3.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 17:29
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.95%E -2.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.34%E -3.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 17:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.95%E -2.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.34%E -3.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 17:34
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.49%E -3.16%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.34%E -3.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 17:33
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.49%EV -14.18%E -8.98%K -24.45%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.51%EV -10.00%E -5.08%K -10.31%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-07 17:31
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-03-07 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-03-07 17:35
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 53.38%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.62%0.7%2026-03-07 17:34
ProphetX1.86I 53.76%NM 53.38%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.62%0.7%2026-03-07 17:35
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-03-07 17:35
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-03-07 17:34
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-03-07 17:35
BetOpenly1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.5%2026-03-07 17:29
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%2.0%2026-03-07 17:34

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (20)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.64%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.99%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.37%2.8%2026-03-07 17:34
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.64%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.99%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.37%2.8%2026-03-07 17:34
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.64%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.99%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.37%2.8%2026-03-07 17:34
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.64%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.99%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.37%2.8%2026-03-07 17:34
Unibet (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.34%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.91%3.9%2026-03-07 17:29
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.66%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.79%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.55%4.6%2026-03-07 17:29
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.86%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.38%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.6%2026-03-07 17:29
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.51%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.07%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%5.0%2026-03-07 17:35
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.51%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.07%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%5.0%2026-03-07 17:34
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 44.51%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.07%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%5.0%2026-03-07 17:34
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 44.51%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.07%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%5.0%2026-03-07 17:34
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.47%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%6.1%2026-03-07 17:34
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%6.6%2026-03-07 17:34
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%6.8%2026-03-07 17:35
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%7.6%2026-03-07 17:34
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.72%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%8.9%2026-03-07 17:29
Codere (IT)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.84%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%9.1%2026-03-07 17:31
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%9.2%2026-03-07 17:34
Unibet (FR)2.11I 47.39%NM 42.66%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%11.1%2026-03-07 17:34
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.80%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.41%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%14.0%2026-03-07 17:35