L’École des cotes

Boston Bruins v Toronto Maple Leafs

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-24 23:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Boston Bruins (Local)

Prévision 64.44%1.55cote équitable
EV -1.41%
Avantage -0.920%
Kelly -2.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.03%64.20%64.49%65.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.501.501.5373.53%66.80%66.67%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Toronto Maple Leafs (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.56%2.81cote équitable
EV -2.21%
Avantage -0.803%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.52%35.80%35.51%37.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.472.642.652.7540.49%37.87%37.74%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.41%E -0.920%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -5.77%E -2.18%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-24 23:00
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -1.41%E -0.920%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -7.54%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-24 22:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -1.41%E -0.920%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -7.54%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-24 23:00
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -1.41%E -0.920%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -7.54%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-24 22:59
NordicBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -1.41%E -0.920%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -10.39%E -4.12%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 23:00
Betsson1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -1.41%E -0.920%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -10.39%E -4.12%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:59
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.41%E -0.920%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.10%E -4.44%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 22:59
ReBet1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -2.05%E -1.35%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -7.19%E -2.75%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-24 22:54
FanDuel1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.05%E -1.35%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -7.54%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-24 22:59
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.05%E -1.35%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -9.32%E -3.66%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 22:59
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.05%E -1.35%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -11.10%E -4.44%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 22:59
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -2.70%E -1.79%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -2.21%E -0.803%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-24 23:00
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.70%E -1.79%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.77%E -2.18%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-24 22:59
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.70%E -1.79%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.77%E -2.18%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-24 22:59
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.34%E -2.23%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.21%E -0.803%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-24 22:59
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.34%E -2.23%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.21%E -0.803%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-24 22:59
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.34%E -2.23%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.21%E -0.803%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-24 23:00
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.34%E -2.23%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.99%E -1.48%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-24 23:00
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.34%E -2.23%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.77%E -2.18%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 23:00
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.34%E -2.23%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.77%E -2.18%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 22:59
MyBookie.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.34%E -2.23%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.54%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 22:59
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -3.34%E -2.23%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -8.25%E -3.20%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 23:00
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.34%E -2.23%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.32%E -3.66%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 23:00
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.34%E -2.23%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.32%E -3.66%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 22:59
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.98%E -2.67%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.99%E -1.48%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 22:59
Caesars1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.98%E -2.67%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.99%E -1.48%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 22:59
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.63%E -3.13%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.21%E -0.803%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-24 22:59
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.63%E -3.13%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.99%E -1.48%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-24 22:59
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.63%E -3.13%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.99%E -1.48%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-24 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.63%E -3.13%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.99%E -1.48%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-24 22:59
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.63%E -3.13%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.99%E -1.48%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-24 23:00
Fliff1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.63%E -3.13%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.77%E -2.18%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 22:59
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.63%E -3.13%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.54%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-24 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.63%E -3.13%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.54%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-24 22:59
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.27%E -3.59%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.21%E -0.803%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 22:59
Bally Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.27%E -3.59%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.21%E -0.803%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 22:59
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.56%E -4.53%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.21%E -0.803%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 22:58
NetBet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.49%EV -12.36%E -9.09%K -34.34%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 35.51%EV -12.17%E -4.93%K -8.28%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-24 22:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.53I 65.36%NM 65.46%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.54%-0.2%2026-03-24 22:59
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 63.97%2.77I 36.10%NM 36.03%0.2%2026-03-24 22:59
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-03-24 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-03-24 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-03-24 22:59
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-03-24 23:00
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-03-24 23:00
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-24 23:00
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%1.8%2026-03-24 22:59

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56%3.1%2026-03-24 22:59
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56%3.1%2026-03-24 23:00
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56%3.1%2026-03-24 22:59
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 54.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56%3.1%2026-03-24 22:59
Unibet (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86%4.0%2026-03-24 22:59
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%4.7%2026-03-24 22:59
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.18%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.75%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.08%4.7%2026-03-24 22:59
Marathon Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.88%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.67%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.45%4.8%2026-03-24 22:59
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%5.2%2026-03-24 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%5.2%2026-03-24 22:59
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 54.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%5.2%2026-03-24 23:00
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 54.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%5.2%2026-03-24 23:00
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.00%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%6.4%2026-03-24 23:00
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%6.8%2026-03-24 22:59
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%7.2%2026-03-24 23:00
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 53.98%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%7.7%2026-03-24 22:59
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%8.7%2026-03-24 22:58
Codere (IT)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%8.8%2026-03-24 22:59
Parions Sport (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.94%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.09%9.1%2026-03-24 22:59
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%9.2%2026-03-24 22:59
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 50.31%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.46%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.24%11.0%2026-03-24 22:48