A Escola das Odds

Boston Bruins v Tampa Bay Lightning

Início: 2026-04-11 16:35 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

37 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Boston Bruins (Local)

Previsão 48.60%2.06odd justa
EV -1.84%
Vantagem -0.909%
Kelly -1.80%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.37%48.66%48.95%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.831.961.952.0254.64%51.01%51.28%49.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tampa Bay Lightning (Visitante)

Previsão 51.40%1.95odd justa
EV -0.791%
Vantagem -0.410%
Kelly -0.851%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%51.34%51.05%52.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.851.851.9358.82%54.08%54.05%51.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.

Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.84%E -0.909%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.45%E -3.54%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 16:30
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.81%E -1.40%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.90%E -2.65%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 16:30
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.81%E -1.40%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.90%E -2.65%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 16:29
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.81%E -1.40%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.93%E -3.24%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 16:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.81%E -1.40%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.93%E -3.24%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 16:30
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.81%E -1.40%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.93%E -3.24%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 16:29
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.81%E -1.40%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.96%E -3.85%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 16:29
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.81%E -1.40%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.47%E -4.15%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 16:30
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.81%E -1.40%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.47%E -4.15%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 16:29
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.81%E -1.40%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.47%E -4.15%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 16:28
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -3.29%E -1.65%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.31%E -0.680%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-11 16:30
ReBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.78%E -1.91%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -3.88%E -2.07%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 16:29
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.78%E -1.91%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.39%E -2.36%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 16:30
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.78%E -1.91%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.93%E -3.24%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 16:29
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.78%E -1.91%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.45%E -3.54%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 16:30
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.78%E -1.91%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.45%E -3.54%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 16:30
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.27%E -2.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.93%E -3.24%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 16:21
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.88%E -2.07%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 16:29
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.88%E -2.07%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 16:30
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.88%E -2.07%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 16:30
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.88%E -2.07%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 16:28
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.88%E -2.07%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 16:29
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.90%E -2.65%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 16:29
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.90%E -2.65%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.90%E -2.65%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 16:30
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.93%E -3.24%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 16:29
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.47%E -4.15%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 16:30
BetOnline.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -5.72%E -2.95%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -0.791%E -0.410%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 16:30
LowVig.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -5.72%E -2.95%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -0.791%E -0.410%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 16:30
MyBookie.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.72%E -2.95%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.88%E -2.07%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 16:29
BetAnything1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.21%E -3.22%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.85%E -1.51%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 16:29
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.21%E -3.22%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.85%E -1.51%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 16:29
Neds1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.69%E -3.49%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.90%E -2.65%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.69%E -3.49%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.90%E -2.65%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 16:30
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.18%E -3.76%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.82%E -0.952%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 16:30
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.67%E -4.04%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.33%E -1.23%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 16:30
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -11.07%E -6.05%K -13.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.84%EV -12.61%E -7.42%K -18.02%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-11 16:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-04-11 16:30
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-04-11 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-11 16:30
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-11 16:30
BetOpenly2.05I 48.78%NM 48.23%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77%1.1%2026-04-11 16:29
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-04-11 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-04-11 16:30
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%1.4%2026-04-11 16:30
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.4%2026-04-11 16:30

Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (22)

Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.

Casa de apostasOpção 1Opção 2Opção 3Margem ▲Atualização
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.78%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%0.9%2026-04-11 16:30
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%3.0%2026-04-11 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%3.0%2026-04-11 16:30
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%3.0%2026-04-11 16:30
Marathon Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.46%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%4.7%2026-04-11 16:29
1xBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.89%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.12%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.00%4.7%2026-04-11 16:29
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.40%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.93%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%4.9%2026-04-11 16:29
Coolbet2.57I 38.91%NM 36.96%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%5.3%2026-04-11 16:30
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.62%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%5.7%2026-04-11 16:30
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.62%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%5.7%2026-04-11 16:30
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.62%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%5.7%2026-04-11 16:30
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.62%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%5.7%2026-04-11 16:29
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.95%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%6.1%2026-04-11 16:30
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%6.9%2026-04-11 16:28
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.15%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.74%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%7.7%2026-04-11 16:30
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.16%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%8.0%2026-04-11 16:29
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%8.5%2026-04-11 16:29
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.74%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.29%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%8.9%2026-04-11 16:30
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.42%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%9.1%2026-04-11 16:29
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.27%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%9.5%2026-04-11 16:30
Betclic (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.11%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.17%9.8%2026-04-11 16:29
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.92%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.43%12.9%2026-04-11 16:30