L’École des cotesFrançais
Boston Bruins v Tampa Bay Lightning
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Boston Bruins (Local)
Prévision 48.60%2.06cote équitable
EV -1.84%
Avantage -0.909%
Kelly -1.80%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.02
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.37%48.66%48.95%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.961.952.0254.64%51.01%51.28%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Tampa Bay Lightning (Visiteur)
Prévision 51.40%1.95cote équitable
EV -0.791%
Avantage -0.410%
Kelly -0.851%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.93
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.34%51.05%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.851.851.9358.82%54.08%54.05%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.84%E -0.909%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.45%E -3.54%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| betPARX | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.81%E -1.40%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.90%E -2.65%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Bally Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.81%E -1.40%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.90%E -2.65%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.81%E -1.40%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.93%E -3.24%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.81%E -1.40%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.93%E -3.24%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.81%E -1.40%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.93%E -3.24%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.81%E -1.40%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.96%E -3.85%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.81%E -1.40%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.47%E -4.15%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.81%E -1.40%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.47%E -4.15%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.81%E -1.40%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.47%E -4.15%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 16:28 |
| Pinnacle | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -3.29%E -1.65%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.31%E -0.680%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| ReBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.78%E -1.91%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -3.88%E -2.07%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.78%E -1.91%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.39%E -2.36%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.78%E -1.91%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.93%E -3.24%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.78%E -1.91%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.45%E -3.54%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.78%E -1.91%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.45%E -3.54%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.27%E -2.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.93%E -3.24%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 16:21 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.88%E -2.07%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.88%E -2.07%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| GTbets | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.88%E -2.07%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.88%E -2.07%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 16:28 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.88%E -2.07%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.90%E -2.65%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.90%E -2.65%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.90%E -2.65%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Fliff | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.93%E -3.24%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.47%E -4.15%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -5.72%E -2.95%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -0.791%E -0.410%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -5.72%E -2.95%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -0.791%E -0.410%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.72%E -2.95%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.88%E -2.07%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| BetAnything | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.21%E -3.22%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.85%E -1.51%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| Bovada | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.21%E -3.22%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.85%E -1.51%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| Neds | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.69%E -3.49%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.90%E -2.65%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.69%E -3.49%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.90%E -2.65%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Caesars | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.18%E -3.76%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.82%E -0.952%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.67%E -4.04%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.33%E -1.23%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -11.07%E -6.05%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.84%EV -12.61%E -7.42%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Polymarket | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Kalshi | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| BetOpenly | 2.05I 48.78%NM 48.23% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| Matchbook | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Novig | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65% | 1.4% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66% | 2.4% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.78% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.78% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.0% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.78% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.0% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.78% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.0% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.46% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| 1xBet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.89% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.12% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.00% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.40% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.93% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| Coolbet | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.96% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.62% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Casumo | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.62% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.62% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.62% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| TABtouch | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.95% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 16:28 |
| LeoVegas | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.15% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.74% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.16% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.74% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.29% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.42% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.75% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.27% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.11% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 23.17% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 16:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.92% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.65% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.43% | 12.9% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |