The School of Odds
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Boston Bruins v San Jose Sharks

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 23:08 UTC

Final: Boston Bruins 6–4 San Jose Sharks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Bruins (Local)

Prediction 62.69%1.60fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -3.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.56%62.65%62.58%63.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.521.531.5669.93%65.61%65.36%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Jose Sharks (Visit)

Prediction 37.31%2.68fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.568%
Kelly -0.914%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.59%37.35%37.42%38.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.422.542.552.6441.32%39.32%39.22%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Bruins (Local): 62.69%; San Jose Sharks (Visit): 37.31%. For San Jose Sharks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.64, with an expected value of -1.50%; they did not produce positive expected value.

20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.21%E -1.41%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.86%E -1.90%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-24 16:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.21%E -1.41%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.83%E -1.83%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.99%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-24 20:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.83%E -1.83%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.99%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-24 20:55
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%EV -3.46%E -2.25%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%EV -1.50%E -0.568%K -0.914%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-24 22:55
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.46%E -2.25%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.86%E -1.90%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-24 23:00
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.46%E -2.25%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.86%E -1.90%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-24 21:20
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.46%E -2.25%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.86%E -1.90%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-24 16:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.46%E -2.25%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-24 20:11
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.09%E -2.67%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.87%E -0.712%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-24 17:34
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.09%E -2.67%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.99%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-24 16:15
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.09%E -2.67%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.99%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-24 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.09%E -2.67%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.99%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-24 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.09%E -2.67%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.86%E -1.90%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 16:10
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.09%E -2.67%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.86%E -1.90%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 23:05
TAB🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.09%E -2.67%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 16:09
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.09%E -2.67%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-23 19:44
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.09%E -2.67%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-23 19:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.09%E -2.67%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-23 19:45
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.09%E -2.67%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.09%E -2.67%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.09%E -2.67%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 20:55
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.09%E -2.67%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 20:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.09%E -2.67%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 23:05
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.71%E -3.10%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.99%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-24 16:15
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.71%E -3.10%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.74%E -1.45%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-24 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.71%E -3.10%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.86%E -1.90%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 21:01
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.71%E -3.10%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.60%E -2.21%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.71%E -3.10%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.60%E -2.21%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 23:05
ReBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.71%E -3.10%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 23:00
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.34%E -3.54%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.99%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 22:30
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.34%E -3.54%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.99%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 16:31
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.34%E -3.54%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.99%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 16:29
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.34%E -3.54%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.99%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 16:30
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -5.34%E -3.54%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -4.48%E -1.75%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 23:05
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.97%E -3.98%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.99%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.97%E -3.98%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.86%E -1.90%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-23 19:45
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.97%E -3.98%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 22:49
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.97%E -3.98%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 22:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.86%EV -10.35%E -7.24%K -24.08%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.14%EV -9.71%E -4.01%K -6.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-24 16:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-10-24 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-10-24 23:05
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-10-24 23:05
ProphetX◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-10-24 23:05
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-10-24 23:00
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-10-24 23:05
Novig◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-10-24 23:05
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-10-24 22:50
BetOpenly◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%2.6%2026-10-24 22:59

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.60%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.87%1.6%2026-10-24 21:01
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%3.2%2026-10-24 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%3.2%2026-10-24 20:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%3.2%2026-10-24 20:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.78%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.78%4.3%2026-10-24 23:00
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.38%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.94%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.68%4.6%2026-10-24 22:55
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.69%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%4.7%2026-10-24 21:40
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.38%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.85%5.2%2026-10-24 20:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.38%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.85%5.2%2026-10-24 20:05
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.38%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.85%5.2%2026-10-24 20:05
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.32%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%6.5%2026-10-24 20:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%6.6%2026-10-24 20:11
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%6.7%2026-10-24 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.04%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.97%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%7.1%2026-10-24 23:00
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%8.1%2026-10-24 20:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%9.0%2026-10-24 23:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.67%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%9.4%2026-10-24 20:11
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%10.6%2026-10-24 23:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%11.8%2026-10-24 23:01
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.20%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.64%16.2%2026-10-24 23:03