默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Boston Bruins v Philadelphia Flyers

开赛时间: 2026-10-10 17:08 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

38 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Boston Bruins (主队)

预测 57.40%1.74公平赔率
EV -2.43%
优势 -1.43%
Kelly -3.46%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.70

博彩公司预测分布
55.84%57.42%57.40%58.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.581.671.671.7063.29%60.03%59.88%58.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

Philadelphia Flyers (客队)

预测 42.60%2.35公平赔率
EV -1.59%
优势 -0.687%
Kelly -1.21%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.31

博彩公司预测分布
41.33%42.58%42.60%44.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.252.252.3147.62%44.54%44.44%43.29%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Boston Bruins (主队):57.40%;Philadelphia Flyers (客队):42.60%。 对于“Philadelphia Flyers (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.35。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.31,期望值为-1.59%,未产生正期望值。

有 19 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(3 个赛果,而分析采用 2 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.43%E -1.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 16:35
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.43%E -1.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 16:35
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.43%E -1.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.40%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:49
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -2.01%E -0.875%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-10 17:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.14%E -1.84%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-10 16:45
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 17:00
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.57%E -2.13%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.57%E -2.04%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 16:40
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.57%E -2.13%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.57%E -2.04%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 16:50
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.57%E -2.13%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 17:00
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.57%E -2.13%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 16:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.57%E -2.13%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -6.70%E -3.06%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.57%E -2.13%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.40%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 16:35
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.57%E -2.13%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.40%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 16:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.04%EV -4.15%E -2.48%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.96%EV -1.59%E -0.687%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-10 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.04%EV -4.15%E -2.48%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.96%EV -1.59%E -0.687%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-10 17:05
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.15%E -2.48%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.01%E -0.875%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-10 17:05
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.15%E -2.48%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.01%E -0.875%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-10 17:04
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.15%E -2.48%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.01%E -0.875%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-10 16:40
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.15%E -2.48%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.01%E -0.875%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-10 16:45
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.15%E -2.48%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.01%E -0.875%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-10 17:05
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -4.15%E -2.48%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-10 16:55
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.15%E -2.48%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.14%E -1.84%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 16:45
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.15%E -2.48%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.14%E -1.84%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 16:30
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.15%E -2.48%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:30
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.72%E -2.84%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.87%E -1.26%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 17:00
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.72%E -2.84%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.87%E -1.26%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 17:00
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.72%E -2.84%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.42%E -2.44%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 17:00
Caesars🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -4.72%E -2.84%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -5.85%E -2.65%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 17:05
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.01%E -0.875%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.01%E -0.875%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 16:40
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.87%E -1.26%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 16:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.14%E -1.84%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 16:50
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.14%E -1.84%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 17:04
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.14%E -1.84%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 17:05
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.87%E -3.58%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.29%E -1.45%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 16:40
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.01%E -0.875%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 17:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.14%E -1.84%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 17:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -9.31%E -5.89%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.53%E -5.02%K -9.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-10 17:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (9)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-10-10 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-10-10 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-10-10 17:05
Novig◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12%1.0%2026-10-10 17:00
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-10-10 16:40
Polymarket◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-10-10 16:30
ProphetX◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-10-10 17:05
Smarkets◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.6%2026-10-10 17:05
BetOpenly◎1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%2.9%2026-10-10 16:55

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (19)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.17%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.58%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25%2.2%2026-10-10 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.06%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.71%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.23%3.4%2026-10-10 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.06%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.71%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.23%3.4%2026-10-10 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.06%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.71%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.23%3.4%2026-10-10 17:00
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.22%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.87%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.91%4.7%2026-10-10 16:55
Coolbet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.09%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.25%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%5.1%2026-10-10 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.68%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-10-10 17:05
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.05%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%5.4%2026-10-10 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.05%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%5.4%2026-10-10 17:00
Grosvenor🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.05%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%5.4%2026-10-10 17:00
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.05%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%5.4%2026-10-10 17:00
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.05%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%6.4%2026-10-10 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%6.5%2026-10-10 16:50
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%7.1%2026-10-10 17:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.44%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%8.7%2026-10-10 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.93%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%8.9%2026-10-10 17:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.67%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%10.6%2026-10-10 17:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.63%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.88%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%12.0%2026-10-10 17:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.21%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.54%14.8%2026-10-10 16:55