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Boston Bruins v Philadelphia Flyers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Boston Bruins (Local)
Predicción 57.40%1.74momio equitativo
EV -2.43%
Ventaja -1.43%
Kelly -3.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.84%57.42%57.40%58.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.581.671.671.7063.29%60.03%59.88%58.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Philadelphia Flyers (Visitante)
Predicción 42.60%2.35momio equitativo
EV -1.59%
Ventaja -0.687%
Kelly -1.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.33%42.58%42.60%44.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.252.252.3147.62%44.54%44.44%43.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Boston Bruins (Local): 57.40%; Philadelphia Flyers (Visitante): 42.60%. Para Philadelphia Flyers (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.35. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.31, con un valor esperado de -1.59%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
19 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.43%E -1.43%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 16:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.43%E -1.43%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 16:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.43%E -1.43%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.40%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 16:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -2.01%E -0.875%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.14%E -1.84%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-10 16:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-10 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.57%E -2.13%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.57%E -2.04%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 16:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.57%E -2.13%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.57%E -2.04%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 16:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.57%E -2.13%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 17:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.57%E -2.13%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 16:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.57%E -2.13%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -6.70%E -3.06%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.57%E -2.13%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.40%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.57%E -2.13%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.40%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 16:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.04%EV -4.15%E -2.48%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.96%EV -1.59%E -0.687%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-10 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.04%EV -4.15%E -2.48%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.96%EV -1.59%E -0.687%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.15%E -2.48%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.01%E -0.875%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.15%E -2.48%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.01%E -0.875%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-10 17:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.15%E -2.48%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.01%E -0.875%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-10 16:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.15%E -2.48%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.01%E -0.875%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-10 16:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.15%E -2.48%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.01%E -0.875%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -4.15%E -2.48%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-10 16:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.15%E -2.48%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.14%E -1.84%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 16:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.15%E -2.48%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.14%E -1.84%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 16:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.15%E -2.48%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.72%E -2.84%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.87%E -1.26%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 17:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.72%E -2.84%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.87%E -1.26%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.72%E -2.84%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.42%E -2.44%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 17:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -4.72%E -2.84%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -5.85%E -2.65%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.01%E -0.875%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 16:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.01%E -0.875%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 16:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.87%E -1.26%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-10 16:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.14%E -1.84%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 16:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.14%E -1.84%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 17:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.14%E -1.84%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.87%E -3.58%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.29%E -1.45%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 16:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.01%E -0.875%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.14%E -1.84%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -9.31%E -5.89%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.53%E -5.02%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-10 17:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12% | 1.0% | 2026-10-10 17:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 16:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 16:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.2% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43% | 1.6% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18% | 2.9% | 2026-10-10 16:55 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (19)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.17% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.58% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25% | 2.2% | 2026-10-10 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.06% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.71% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.23% | 3.4% | 2026-10-10 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.06% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.71% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.23% | 3.4% | 2026-10-10 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.06% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.71% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.23% | 3.4% | 2026-10-10 17:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.22% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.87% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.91% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 16:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.09% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.25% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.68% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.05% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.05% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.05% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.05% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.05% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10% | 6.4% | 2026-10-10 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36% | 6.5% | 2026-10-10 16:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34% | 7.1% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.44% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29% | 8.7% | 2026-10-10 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.93% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40% | 8.9% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.67% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61% | 10.6% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.63% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.88% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49% | 12.0% | 2026-10-10 17:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.21% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.54% | 14.8% | 2026-10-10 16:55 |