Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Bruins v New York Rangers

Kickoff: 2026-09-30 00:14 UTC

Final: Boston Bruins 3–0 New York Rangers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Bruins (Local)

Prediction 49.92%2.00fair odd
EV -0.156%
Edge -0.078%
Kelly -0.156%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.05%49.81%50.00%50.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.911.912.0055.25%52.25%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Rangers (Visit)

Prediction 50.08%2.00fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.87%50.19%50.00%51.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.901.911.9556.18%52.71%52.36%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Bruins (Local): 49.92%; New York Rangers (Visit): 50.08%. For Boston Bruins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.003. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.000, with an expected value of -0.156%; they did not produce positive expected value.

21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -0.156%E -0.078%K -0.156%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -7.36%E -3.98%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-29 23:30
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -0.156%E -0.078%K -0.156%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -7.36%E -3.98%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-29 23:30
Pinnacle🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.65%E -1.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.35%E -1.20%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-29 21:30
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.65%E -1.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.35%E -3.40%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-30 00:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.15%E -1.62%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.35%E -1.74%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-29 19:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.15%E -1.62%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.35%E -1.74%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-29 19:30
Bet Right🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.65%E -1.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.35%E -2.28%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-29 23:40
Caesars🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.15%E -2.16%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.35%E -1.74%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-29 16:28
MyBookie.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.15%E -2.16%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.35%E -2.83%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-29 20:25
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.65%E -2.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.35%E -2.28%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-29 16:29
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.65%E -2.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.35%E -2.28%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-29 14:09
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.65%E -2.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.35%E -2.28%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-29 23:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.65%E -2.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.35%E -2.28%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-29 23:30
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.65%E -2.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.35%E -2.28%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-29 23:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.65%E -2.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.35%E -2.28%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-29 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.65%E -2.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.35%E -2.28%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-28 22:04
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.65%E -2.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.35%E -2.28%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-28 22:04
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.65%E -2.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.35%E -2.28%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-28 22:05
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.65%E -2.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.35%E -2.28%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-29 21:20
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.65%E -2.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.35%E -2.28%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-29 14:50
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.65%E -2.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.35%E -2.28%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-28 21:59
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.65%E -2.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.35%E -2.28%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-28 22:00
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.65%E -2.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.35%E -2.28%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-29 21:05
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.65%E -2.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.35%E -2.28%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-29 15:00
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.65%E -2.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.85%E -2.55%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-29 20:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.15%E -2.71%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.85%E -2.55%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-28 11:30
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.15%E -2.71%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.85%E -2.55%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 16:30
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.15%E -2.71%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.85%E -2.55%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 23:30
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.15%E -2.71%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.85%E -2.55%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 14:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.15%E -2.71%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.85%E -2.55%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 14:15
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.15%E -2.71%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.36%E -3.98%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-29 23:45
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.15%E -2.71%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.36%E -3.98%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-29 23:45
Neds🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.15%E -3.27%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.85%E -3.11%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-28 22:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.15%E -3.27%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.85%E -3.11%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-28 22:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.58%EV -9.64%E -5.33%K -11.90%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.42%EV -10.86%E -6.10%K -13.92%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-30 00:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-09-30 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-09-30 00:00
ProphetX◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-09-30 00:00
Novig◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-09-29 23:55
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-09-30 00:00
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-28 22:10
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64%1.8%2026-09-30 00:00
BetOpenly◎1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%2.0%2026-09-29 23:40
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-09-30 00:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.68%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.78%3.3%2026-09-29 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.68%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.78%3.3%2026-09-29 23:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.68%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.78%3.3%2026-09-29 23:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.17%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.61%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.22%3.5%2026-09-30 00:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.40%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.56%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.04%4.6%2026-09-29 23:29
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.6%2026-09-29 23:54
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.6%2026-09-29 21:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.80%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.18%5.2%2026-09-29 23:54
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.50%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%5.4%2026-09-29 23:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.50%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%5.4%2026-09-29 23:30
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.50%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%5.4%2026-09-29 23:30
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.62%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%5.7%2026-09-30 00:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-09-29 19:59
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.60%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%7.1%2026-09-29 23:30
Betway🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%7.5%2026-09-29 20:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.07%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.71%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%9.0%2026-09-29 23:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.16%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%9.2%2026-09-29 23:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.15%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%9.2%2026-09-30 00:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.73%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%9.9%2026-09-30 00:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.88%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.42%12.3%2026-09-29 23:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.46%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.83%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%12.9%2026-09-29 23:30