A Escola das Odds

Boston Bruins v Buffalo Sabres

Início: 2026-04-23 23:20 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

36 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Boston Bruins (Local)

Previsão 51.28%1.95odd justa
EV -2.06%
Vantagem -1.08%
Kelly -2.27%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%51.34%51.22%53.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.711.861.851.9158.48%53.88%54.05%52.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Buffalo Sabres (Visitante)

Previsão 48.72%2.05odd justa
EV -0.114%
Vantagem -0.056%
Kelly -0.108%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.34%48.66%48.78%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.811.961.952.0555.25%51.11%51.28%48.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

21 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.

Odds das casas de apostas (36 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -2.06%E -1.03%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-23 23:09
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.96%E -3.09%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 22:25
Bally Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.96%E -3.09%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 22:25
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 03:29
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -3.09%E -1.64%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%EV -3.52%E -1.78%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -3.09%E -1.64%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%EV -3.52%E -1.78%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 23:00
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -1.58%E -0.780%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-23 23:05
ReBet1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.01%E -2.04%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 22:54
Bet Right1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.01%E -2.04%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 23:10
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 19:55
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 22:25
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 06:10
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 22:49
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 22:24
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 22:40
MyBookie.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.63%E -2.49%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:54
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.52%E -1.78%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 23:10
BetAnything1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.01%E -2.04%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 23:00
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.01%E -2.04%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 22:39
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 22:24
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 22:24
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:30
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.45%E -3.36%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 22:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.45%E -3.36%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 22:25
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.42%E -3.91%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 23:04
Betsson1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.65%E -3.07%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.01%E -2.04%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:39
NordicBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.65%E -3.07%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.01%E -2.04%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:40
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.55%E -1.28%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 22:25
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.55%E -1.28%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 22:49
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.52%E -1.78%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 23:09
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.52%E -1.78%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 23:04
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -9.24%E -5.22%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -0.114%E -0.056%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 23:00
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.42%EV -12.32%E -7.20%K -17.35%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.58%EV -11.81%E -6.52%K -14.58%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 22:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-04-23 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-04-23 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-04-23 23:05
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-04-23 23:10
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-04-23 16:29
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-04-23 16:19
BetOpenly1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.8%2026-04-23 22:54
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-04-23 23:05
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%2.6%2026-04-23 23:10

Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (21)

Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.

Casa de apostasOpção 1Opção 2Opção 3Margem ▲Atualização
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-04-23 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-04-23 22:49
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-04-23 22:49
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-04-23 22:50
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 40.02%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%4.6%2026-04-23 22:40
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.71%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.16%4.9%2026-04-23 23:09
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 38.74%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.74%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.53%4.9%2026-04-23 22:49
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.30%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-04-23 22:50
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 38.30%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-04-23 22:49
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.30%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-04-23 22:49
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 38.30%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-04-23 22:49
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.30%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%6.0%2026-04-23 23:10
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%6.3%2026-04-23 22:50
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.20%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%6.3%2026-04-23 23:09
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.82%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%6.5%2026-04-23 22:54
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%6.9%2026-04-23 22:49
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 39.70%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%7.2%2026-04-23 23:09
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 38.26%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%7.6%2026-04-23 22:49
Betclic (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%8.4%2026-04-23 23:03
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.18%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%8.6%2026-04-23 23:09
PMU (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.39%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.06%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.55%12.3%2026-04-23 22:50