L’École des cotes

Boston Bruins v Buffalo Sabres

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-23 23:20 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Boston Bruins (Local)

Prévision 51.28%1.95cote équitable
EV -2.06%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -2.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.34%51.22%53.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.711.861.851.9158.48%53.88%54.05%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Buffalo Sabres (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.72%2.05cote équitable
EV -0.114%
Avantage -0.056%
Kelly -0.108%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.34%48.66%48.78%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.811.961.952.0555.25%51.11%51.28%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -2.06%E -1.03%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-23 23:09
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.96%E -3.09%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 22:25
Bally Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.96%E -3.09%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 22:25
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 03:29
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -3.09%E -1.64%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%EV -3.52%E -1.78%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -3.09%E -1.64%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%EV -3.52%E -1.78%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 23:00
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -1.58%E -0.780%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-23 23:05
ReBet1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.01%E -2.04%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 22:54
Bet Right1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.01%E -2.04%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 23:10
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 19:55
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 22:25
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 06:10
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 22:49
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 22:24
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 22:40
MyBookie.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.63%E -2.49%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:54
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.52%E -1.78%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 23:10
BetAnything1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.01%E -2.04%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 23:00
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.01%E -2.04%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 22:39
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 22:24
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 22:24
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:30
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.45%E -3.36%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 22:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.45%E -3.36%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 22:25
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.42%E -3.91%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 23:04
Betsson1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.65%E -3.07%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.01%E -2.04%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:39
NordicBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.65%E -3.07%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.01%E -2.04%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:40
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.55%E -1.28%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 22:25
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.55%E -1.28%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 22:49
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.52%E -1.78%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 23:09
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.52%E -1.78%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 23:04
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -9.24%E -5.22%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -0.114%E -0.056%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 23:00
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.42%EV -12.32%E -7.20%K -17.35%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.58%EV -11.81%E -6.52%K -14.58%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 22:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-04-23 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-04-23 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-04-23 23:05
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-04-23 23:10
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-04-23 16:29
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-04-23 16:19
BetOpenly1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.8%2026-04-23 22:54
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-04-23 23:05
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%2.6%2026-04-23 23:10

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-04-23 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-04-23 22:49
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-04-23 22:49
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-04-23 22:50
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 40.02%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%4.6%2026-04-23 22:40
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.71%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.16%4.9%2026-04-23 23:09
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 38.74%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.74%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.53%4.9%2026-04-23 22:49
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.30%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-04-23 22:50
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 38.30%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-04-23 22:49
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.30%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-04-23 22:49
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 38.30%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-04-23 22:49
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.30%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%6.0%2026-04-23 23:10
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%6.3%2026-04-23 22:50
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.20%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%6.3%2026-04-23 23:09
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.82%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%6.5%2026-04-23 22:54
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%6.9%2026-04-23 22:49
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 39.70%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%7.2%2026-04-23 23:09
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 38.26%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%7.6%2026-04-23 22:49
Betclic (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%8.4%2026-04-23 23:03
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.18%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%8.6%2026-04-23 23:09
PMU (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.39%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.06%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.55%12.3%2026-04-23 22:50