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Boston Bruins v Buffalo Sabres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Boston Bruins (Local)
Prediction 51.06%1.96fair odd
EV +2.13%
Edge +1.06%
Kelly +2.13%
Growth +0.045%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%51.14%51.05%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.871.872.0054.95%53.38%53.48%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Buffalo Sabres (Visit)
Prediction 48.94%2.04fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -2.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%48.86%48.95%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.941.952.0055.56%51.51%51.28%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Bruins (Local): 51.06%; Buffalo Sabres (Visit): 48.94%. For Boston Bruins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.13%.
20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +2.13%E +1.06%K +2.13%G +0.045% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -11.91%E -6.62%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-24 01:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.47%E -1.29%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -2.98%E -1.57%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -5.06%E -2.61%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-24 02:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -3.49%E -1.85%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%EV -2.13%E -1.06%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.49%E -1.85%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.55%E -2.88%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.49%E -1.85%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.55%E -2.88%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -4.00%E -2.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV -2.61%E -1.31%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-24 01:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -4.00%E -2.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV -2.61%E -1.31%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-24 01:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.00%E -2.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.06%E -2.61%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-24 01:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.00%E -2.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.55%E -2.88%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.57%E -2.34%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 02:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.57%E -2.34%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 01:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.57%E -2.34%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 01:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.57%E -2.34%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 02:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.57%E -2.34%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 01:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.57%E -2.34%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.57%E -2.34%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.57%E -2.34%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.57%E -2.34%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.57%E -2.34%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 02:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.57%E -2.34%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 02:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.06%E -2.61%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 02:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.55%E -2.88%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.55%E -2.88%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.55%E -2.88%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.57%E -2.34%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.57%E -2.34%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.57%E -2.34%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.04%E -3.15%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.04%E -3.15%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.56%E -3.58%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.13%E -1.06%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-24 01:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -7.07%E -3.88%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -7.51%E -3.97%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-24 02:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 2.1% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81% | 6.2% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.04% | 10.2% | 2026-04-24 02:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.23% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.03% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.74% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.03% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.72% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25% | 3.3% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.03% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.72% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25% | 3.3% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.03% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.72% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25% | 3.3% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.03% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.72% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25% | 3.3% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.17% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.09% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73% | 4.6% | 2026-04-24 03:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.01% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.69% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.01% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.69% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 02:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.01% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.69% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.01% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.69% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.29% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.72% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 02:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.70% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12% | 6.3% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.09% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.76% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.77% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.85% | 8.1% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07% | 8.4% | 2026-04-24 01:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.69% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27% | 9.5% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.04% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.70% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25% | 12.3% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.34% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.67% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.99% | 13.0% | 2026-04-24 02:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.54% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.79% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.67% | 17.6% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |