A Escola das Odds

Anaheim Ducks v Vegas Golden Knights

Início: 2026-05-11 01:52 UTC

Final: Anaheim Ducks 4–3 Vegas Golden Knights

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

36 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Anaheim Ducks (Local)

Previsão 53.07%1.88odd justa
EV +1.37%
Vantagem +0.717%
Kelly +1.50%
Crescimento +0.021%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%52.82%53.19%53.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.651.811.801.9160.61%55.33%55.56%52.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Vegas Golden Knights (Visitante)

Previsão 46.93%2.13odd justa
EV -0.514%
Vantagem -0.242%
Kelly -0.459%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.06%47.18%46.81%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.872.022.032.1253.48%49.54%49.26%47.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

21 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.

Odds das casas de apostas (36 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +1.37%E +0.717%K +1.50%G +0.021%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -10.37%E -5.43%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 13:00
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -0.754%E -0.403%K -0.867%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.49%E -4.35%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 01:39
ReBet1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -2.35%E -1.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -5.68%E -2.82%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 01:24
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.45%E -0.692%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-11 01:34
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.86%E -1.38%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-11 01:39
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.86%E -1.38%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-11 01:39
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 01:49
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 01:34
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 01:34
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.37%E -5.43%K -11.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 01:34
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -3.41%E -1.87%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -4.74%E -2.33%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-11 01:30
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.41%E -1.87%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 01:49
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.94%E -2.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.514%E -0.242%K -0.459%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-11 01:34
Betsson1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.94%E -2.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 01:49
NordicBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.94%E -2.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 01:49
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.80%E -1.85%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 01:19
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.80%E -1.85%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 01:19
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.80%E -1.85%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 01:19
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.80%E -1.85%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 01:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.80%E -1.85%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 01:19
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.80%E -1.85%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 01:19
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.80%E -1.85%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 00:48
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.80%E -1.85%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 01:39
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.80%E -1.85%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 01:19
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.80%E -1.85%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 01:10
MyBookie.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -4.74%E -2.33%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 01:24
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 01:19
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 01:09
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 00:49
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -10.84%E -5.70%K -12.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-11 01:23
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.00%E -2.79%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.80%E -1.85%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 01:39
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -2.86%E -1.38%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-11 01:42
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.27%E -2.09%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 01:34
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.21%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 01:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.21%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 01:19
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.13%EV -12.43%E -7.53%K -19.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -12.25%E -6.55%K -14.08%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-11 01:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%2.11I 47.39%NM 47.25%0.3%2026-05-11 01:49
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-05-11 01:49
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-11 01:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-05-11 01:50
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-05-11 01:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.2%2026-05-11 01:49
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%5.8%2026-05-11 01:14
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%7.0%2026-05-11 01:44
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 52.91%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%11.2%2026-05-11 01:44

Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (21)

Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.

Casa de apostasOpção 1Opção 2Opção 3Margem ▲Atualização
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.41%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.30%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%3.1%2026-05-11 01:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.41%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.30%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%3.1%2026-05-11 01:34
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 40.41%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.30%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%3.1%2026-05-11 01:34
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.41%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.30%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%3.1%2026-05-11 01:34
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.19%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.33%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.48%4.7%2026-05-11 01:24
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.64%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%4.7%2026-05-11 01:19
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.33%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.58%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.10%4.8%2026-05-11 01:14
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.71%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.16%4.9%2026-05-11 01:30
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.24%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%5.3%2026-05-11 01:34
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.24%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%5.3%2026-05-11 01:34
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.24%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%5.3%2026-05-11 01:34
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.24%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%5.3%2026-05-11 01:34
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.01%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%6.4%2026-05-11 01:29
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.82%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%6.5%2026-05-11 01:19
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.81%6.6%2026-05-11 01:24
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 40.21%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%6.7%2026-05-11 01:34
Betclic (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.30%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.70%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%7.0%2026-05-11 01:33
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 39.70%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%7.2%2026-05-11 01:29
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 40.52%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%7.3%2026-05-11 01:34
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44%8.7%2026-05-11 01:29
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%12.5%2026-05-11 01:34