L’École des cotes

Anaheim Ducks v Vegas Golden Knights

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-11 01:52 UTC

Score final : Anaheim Ducks 4–3 Vegas Golden Knights

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Anaheim Ducks (Local)

Prévision 53.07%1.88cote équitable
EV +1.37%
Avantage +0.717%
Kelly +1.50%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%52.82%53.19%53.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.811.801.9160.61%55.33%55.56%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vegas Golden Knights (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.93%2.13cote équitable
EV -0.514%
Avantage -0.242%
Kelly -0.459%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.06%47.18%46.81%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.872.022.032.1253.48%49.54%49.26%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +1.37%E +0.717%K +1.50%G +0.021%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -10.37%E -5.43%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 13:00
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -0.754%E -0.403%K -0.867%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.49%E -4.35%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 01:39
ReBet1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -2.35%E -1.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -5.68%E -2.82%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 01:24
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.45%E -0.692%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-11 01:34
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.86%E -1.38%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-11 01:39
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.86%E -1.38%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-11 01:39
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 01:49
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 01:34
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 01:34
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.37%E -5.43%K -11.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 01:34
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -3.41%E -1.87%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -4.74%E -2.33%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-11 01:30
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.41%E -1.87%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 01:49
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.94%E -2.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.514%E -0.242%K -0.459%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-11 01:34
Betsson1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.94%E -2.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 01:49
NordicBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.94%E -2.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 01:49
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.80%E -1.85%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 01:19
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.80%E -1.85%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 01:19
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.80%E -1.85%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 01:19
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.80%E -1.85%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 01:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.80%E -1.85%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 01:19
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.80%E -1.85%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 01:19
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.80%E -1.85%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 00:48
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.80%E -1.85%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 01:39
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.80%E -1.85%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 01:19
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.80%E -1.85%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 01:10
MyBookie.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -4.74%E -2.33%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 01:24
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 01:19
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 01:09
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 00:49
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -10.84%E -5.70%K -12.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-11 01:23
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.00%E -2.79%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.80%E -1.85%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 01:39
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -2.86%E -1.38%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-11 01:42
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.27%E -2.09%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 01:34
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.21%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 01:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.21%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 01:19
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.13%EV -12.43%E -7.53%K -19.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -12.25%E -6.55%K -14.08%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-11 01:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%2.11I 47.39%NM 47.25%0.3%2026-05-11 01:49
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-05-11 01:49
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-11 01:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-05-11 01:50
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-05-11 01:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.2%2026-05-11 01:49
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%5.8%2026-05-11 01:14
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%7.0%2026-05-11 01:44
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 52.91%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%11.2%2026-05-11 01:44

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.41%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.30%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%3.1%2026-05-11 01:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.41%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.30%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%3.1%2026-05-11 01:34
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 40.41%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.30%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%3.1%2026-05-11 01:34
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.41%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.30%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%3.1%2026-05-11 01:34
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.19%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.33%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.48%4.7%2026-05-11 01:24
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.64%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%4.7%2026-05-11 01:19
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.33%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.58%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.10%4.8%2026-05-11 01:14
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.71%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.16%4.9%2026-05-11 01:30
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.24%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%5.3%2026-05-11 01:34
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.24%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%5.3%2026-05-11 01:34
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.24%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%5.3%2026-05-11 01:34
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.24%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%5.3%2026-05-11 01:34
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.01%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%6.4%2026-05-11 01:29
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.82%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%6.5%2026-05-11 01:19
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.81%6.6%2026-05-11 01:24
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 40.21%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%6.7%2026-05-11 01:34
Betclic (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.30%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.70%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%7.0%2026-05-11 01:33
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 39.70%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%7.2%2026-05-11 01:29
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 40.52%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%7.3%2026-05-11 01:34
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44%8.7%2026-05-11 01:29
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%12.5%2026-05-11 01:34