Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anaheim Ducks v San Jose Sharks

Kickoff: 2026-04-10 02:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anaheim Ducks (Local)

Prediction 60.12%1.66fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -3.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.67%60.15%60.15%61.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.591.601.6367.57%62.73%62.70%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Jose Sharks (Visit)

Prediction 39.88%2.51fair odd
EV -0.297%
Edge -0.119%
Kelly -0.198%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.57%39.85%39.85%41.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.382.402.5046.08%41.94%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anaheim Ducks (Local): 60.12%; San Jose Sharks (Visit): 39.88%. For San Jose Sharks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -0.297%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%EV -2.01%E -1.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%EV -3.49%E -1.44%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-10 00:55
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.61%E -1.61%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.29%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 21:10
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.61%E -1.61%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 00:30
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.61%E -1.61%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 00:29
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.61%E -1.61%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 01:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -2.61%E -1.61%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -7.87%E -3.41%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 01:59
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.61%E -1.61%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.27%E -3.60%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 22:40
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.21%E -1.99%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.29%E -0.935%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-10 02:00
Caesars🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.21%E -1.99%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.29%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 01:59
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.21%E -1.99%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.29%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 18:00
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.21%E -1.99%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.08%E -2.14%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 01:29
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.21%E -1.99%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 00:20
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.81%E -2.38%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.29%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 15:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.81%E -2.38%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.29%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.81%E -2.38%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 09:44
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.81%E -2.38%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 02:05
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.81%E -2.38%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 02:05
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.81%E -2.38%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 01:40
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.81%E -2.38%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.27%E -3.60%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 02:03
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.41%E -2.77%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.696%E -0.279%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-10 02:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -4.41%E -2.77%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -1.09%E -0.441%K -0.740%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-10 02:05
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -4.41%E -2.77%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -1.89%E -0.769%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-10 02:04
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.41%E -2.77%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.29%E -0.935%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 02:05
Paddy Power🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.41%E -2.77%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.09%E -1.27%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 02:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.41%E -2.77%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.09%E -1.27%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 02:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.41%E -2.77%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.29%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 00:49
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.41%E -2.77%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.29%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 15:05
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.41%E -2.77%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 02:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.41%E -2.77%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.27%E -3.60%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 02:05
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -5.01%E -3.17%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.49%E -1.44%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 02:05
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.01%E -3.17%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.01%E -3.17%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 15:05
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.01%E -3.17%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 02:05
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.61%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -0.297%E -0.119%K -0.198%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 02:05
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.61%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.29%E -0.935%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 02:05
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.61%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.29%E -0.935%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 02:00
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.61%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -3.89%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 02:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.45%EV -11.02%E -7.45%K -22.97%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.55%EV -13.46%E -6.20%K -11.50%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-09 15:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.66I 60.24%NM 60.29%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.71%-0.1%2026-04-10 01:59
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-04-10 02:00
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 59.90%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.10%1.8%2026-04-10 02:05
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%2.1%2026-04-10 02:00
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-04-10 02:05
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%2.4%2026-04-10 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-04-10 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%2.9%2026-04-10 02:05
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%3.5%2026-04-10 02:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%3.0%2026-04-10 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%3.0%2026-04-10 00:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%3.0%2026-04-10 00:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%3.0%2026-04-10 00:29
Coolbet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.55%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%4.5%2026-04-10 02:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.84%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%4.6%2026-04-10 02:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.49%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.04%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.47%4.7%2026-04-10 01:59
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.99%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.41%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.60%4.7%2026-04-10 01:59
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.24%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%5.2%2026-04-10 00:20
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%5.5%2026-04-10 00:30
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%5.5%2026-04-10 00:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%5.5%2026-04-10 00:30
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%6.8%2026-04-10 00:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.52%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%6.8%2026-04-10 02:00
LeoVegas🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%7.3%2026-04-10 00:29
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%7.9%2026-04-10 02:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%8.1%2026-04-10 01:58
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.61%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.31%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%8.3%2026-04-10 02:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%8.7%2026-04-10 02:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.40%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%8.8%2026-04-10 02:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%9.0%2026-04-10 02:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.17%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.71%12.3%2026-04-10 00:29