La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.72
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.39
22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -6.33%E -3.88%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV +1.66%E +0.693%K +1.19%G +0.020% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -6.33%E -3.88%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV +1.66%E +0.693%K +1.19%G +0.020% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 02:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.18%E -3.14%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.045%E -0.019%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.18%E -3.14%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.045%E -0.019%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 02:04 |
| Caesars | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.91%E -4.26%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.045%E -0.019%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 01:59 |
| BetUS | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -5.18%E -3.14%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -0.470%E -0.201%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-08 02:04 |
| GTbets | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.03%E -2.41%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.17%E -0.944%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| Everygame | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.03%E -2.41%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.17%E -0.944%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.18%E -3.14%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.17%E -0.944%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| Fliff | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.91%E -4.26%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.17%E -0.944%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -4.61%E -2.78%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -3.87%E -1.71%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -1.16%E -0.674%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -4.30%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-08 01:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.88%E -1.71%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.30%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-07 23:24 |
| betPARX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.46%E -2.06%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.30%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 17:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.46%E -2.06%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.30%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 17:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.03%E -2.41%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.30%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.03%E -2.41%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.30%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.03%E -2.41%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.30%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.03%E -2.41%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.30%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.03%E -2.41%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.30%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.03%E -2.41%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.30%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.18%E -3.14%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.30%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.46%E -2.06%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.72%E -2.11%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.03%E -2.41%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.15%E -2.31%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 17:54 |
| Bovada | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -2.31%E -1.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -5.57%E -2.51%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 19:59 |
| ReBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -2.88%E -1.71%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.57%E -2.51%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 01:59 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.03%E -2.41%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 15:24 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.18%E -3.14%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 01:58 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.18%E -3.14%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.18%E -3.14%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| Betsson | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -2.88%E -1.71%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -7.70%E -3.55%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 01:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -2.88%E -1.71%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -7.70%E -3.55%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 01:40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -1.73%E -1.01%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 14:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.31%E -1.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 23:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.31%E -1.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 01:50 |
| TAB | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.46%E -2.06%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-07 16:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.03%E -2.41%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.26%EV -12.08%E -7.89%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.74%EV -12.81%E -6.25%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-08 01:45 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| BetOpenly | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26% | 0.7% | 2026-04-08 01:59 |
| Polymarket | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 1.2% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.5% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| Novig | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.5% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89% | 1.9% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.94% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.93% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.13% | 2.7% | 2026-04-07 20:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.94% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.93% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.13% | 2.7% | 2026-04-07 20:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.94% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.93% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.13% | 2.7% | 2026-04-07 20:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.94% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.93% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.13% | 2.7% | 2026-04-07 20:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.33% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.58% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.09% | 4.1% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.33% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.42% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 13:34 |
| 1xBet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.05% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.08% | 4.6% | 2026-04-08 01:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.75% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.52% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73% | 4.6% | 2026-04-08 01:59 |
| Unibet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 17:54 |
| Grosvenor | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 17:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 17:54 |
| Casumo | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 17:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.92% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15% | 6.2% | 2026-04-07 17:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36% | 6.5% | 2026-04-08 00:15 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11% | 7.7% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.92% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09% | 7.8% | 2026-04-07 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 01:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.80% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40% | 8.9% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.80% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40% | 8.9% | 2026-04-08 01:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.68% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.71% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.61% | 9.2% | 2026-04-08 02:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74% | 9.5% | 2026-04-07 17:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.05% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22% | 12.5% | 2026-04-07 17:55 |