La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Anaheim Ducks v Nashville Predators
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Anaheim Ducks (Local)
Predicción 57.47%1.74momio equitativo
EV -1.16%
Ventaja -0.674%
Kelly -1.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.70%57.67%57.40%59.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.671.671.7265.36%60.06%59.88%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Nashville Predators (Visitante)
Predicción 42.53%2.35momio equitativo
EV +1.66%
Ventaja +0.693%
Kelly +1.19%
Crecimiento +0.020%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.39
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.55%42.33%42.60%44.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.242.252.3948.78%44.59%44.44%41.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -6.33%E -3.88%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV +1.66%E +0.693%K +1.19%G +0.020% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -6.33%E -3.88%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV +1.66%E +0.693%K +1.19%G +0.020% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 02:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.18%E -3.14%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.045%E -0.019%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.18%E -3.14%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.045%E -0.019%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 02:04 |
| Caesars | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.91%E -4.26%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.045%E -0.019%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 01:59 |
| BetUS | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -5.18%E -3.14%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -0.470%E -0.201%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-08 02:04 |
| GTbets | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.03%E -2.41%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.17%E -0.944%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| Everygame | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.03%E -2.41%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.17%E -0.944%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.18%E -3.14%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.17%E -0.944%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| Fliff | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.91%E -4.26%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.17%E -0.944%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -4.61%E -2.78%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -3.87%E -1.71%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -1.16%E -0.674%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -4.30%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-08 01:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.88%E -1.71%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.30%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-07 23:24 |
| betPARX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.46%E -2.06%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.30%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 17:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.46%E -2.06%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.30%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 17:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.03%E -2.41%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.30%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.03%E -2.41%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.30%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.03%E -2.41%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.30%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.03%E -2.41%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.30%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.03%E -2.41%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.30%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.03%E -2.41%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.30%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.18%E -3.14%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.30%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.46%E -2.06%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.72%E -2.11%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.03%E -2.41%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.15%E -2.31%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 17:54 |
| Bovada | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -2.31%E -1.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -5.57%E -2.51%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 19:59 |
| ReBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -2.88%E -1.71%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.57%E -2.51%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 01:59 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.03%E -2.41%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 15:24 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.18%E -3.14%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 01:58 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.18%E -3.14%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.18%E -3.14%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| Betsson | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -2.88%E -1.71%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -7.70%E -3.55%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 01:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -2.88%E -1.71%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -7.70%E -3.55%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 01:40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -1.73%E -1.01%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 14:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.31%E -1.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 23:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.31%E -1.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 01:50 |
| TAB | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.46%E -2.06%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-07 16:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.03%E -2.41%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.26%EV -12.08%E -7.89%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.74%EV -12.81%E -6.25%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-08 01:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| BetOpenly | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26% | 0.7% | 2026-04-08 01:59 |
| Polymarket | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 1.2% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.5% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| Novig | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.5% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89% | 1.9% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.94% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.93% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.13% | 2.7% | 2026-04-07 20:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.94% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.93% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.13% | 2.7% | 2026-04-07 20:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.94% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.93% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.13% | 2.7% | 2026-04-07 20:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.94% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.93% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.13% | 2.7% | 2026-04-07 20:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.33% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.58% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.09% | 4.1% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.33% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.42% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 13:34 |
| 1xBet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.05% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.08% | 4.6% | 2026-04-08 01:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.75% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.52% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73% | 4.6% | 2026-04-08 01:59 |
| Unibet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 17:54 |
| Grosvenor | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 17:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 17:54 |
| Casumo | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 17:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.92% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15% | 6.2% | 2026-04-07 17:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36% | 6.5% | 2026-04-08 00:15 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11% | 7.7% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.92% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09% | 7.8% | 2026-04-07 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 01:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.80% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40% | 8.9% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.80% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40% | 8.9% | 2026-04-08 01:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.68% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.71% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.61% | 9.2% | 2026-04-08 02:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74% | 9.5% | 2026-04-07 17:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.05% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22% | 12.5% | 2026-04-07 17:55 |