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Anaheim Ducks v Calgary Flames
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Anaheim Ducks (Local)
Prediction 60.95%1.64fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -3.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.74%60.85%60.95%63.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.571.571.6168.03%63.73%63.69%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Calgary Flames (Visit)
Prediction 39.05%2.56fair odd
EV +2.69%
Edge +1.02%
Kelly +1.65%
Growth +0.044%
assuming max odds 2.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.47%39.15%39.05%40.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.442.452.6343.48%41.00%40.82%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anaheim Ducks (Local): 60.95%; Calgary Flames (Visit): 39.05%. For Calgary Flames (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.56. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.63, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.69%.
20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -7.96%E -5.27%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV +2.69%E +1.02%K +1.65%G +0.044% | 4.2% | 2026-10-14 01:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -7.96%E -5.27%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV +2.69%E +1.02%K +1.65%G +0.044% | 4.2% | 2026-10-14 01:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.22%EV -3.08%E -1.94%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.78%EV -1.99%E -0.794%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-10-14 01:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -4.91%E -3.15%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -1.99%E -0.794%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-13 13:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.08%E -1.94%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.38%E -0.954%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-13 16:31 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.38%E -0.954%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-13 22:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.52%E -3.56%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.38%E -0.954%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-13 22:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.08%E -1.94%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.77%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-13 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.08%E -1.94%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.77%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-13 16:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.08%EV -3.69%E -2.34%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%EV -3.17%E -1.28%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-14 01:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.17%E -1.28%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-14 01:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -3.08%E -1.94%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -3.95%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-13 19:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.08%E -1.94%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.34%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-13 14:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.34%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-13 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.34%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-13 13:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.34%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-13 14:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.34%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-13 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.34%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-13 13:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.34%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-13 14:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.52%E -3.56%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.34%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 13:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -3.08%E -1.94%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -4.73%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-14 01:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -1.86%E -1.16%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -5.12%E -2.11%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-14 01:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.51%E -2.28%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-13 21:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.51%E -2.28%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-13 21:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.90%E -2.45%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 01:33 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -1.86%E -1.16%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -6.29%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-14 01:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.08%E -1.94%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.29%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-14 01:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.69%E -2.34%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.29%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-13 13:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.69%E -2.34%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.29%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-13 20:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -3.69%E -2.34%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -6.68%E -2.79%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-14 01:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.07%E -2.97%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-13 14:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.24%E -3.51%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-13 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.24%E -3.51%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-13 14:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.24%E -3.51%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-14 01:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.21%EV -10.40%E -7.07%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.79%EV -9.41%E -4.06%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-13 15:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.52%E -3.56%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.19%E -4.43%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-14 01:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.52%E -3.56%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.19%E -4.43%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-14 01:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-10-14 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66% | 1.7% | 2026-10-14 01:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66% | 1.7% | 2026-10-14 01:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-10-14 01:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-10-14 01:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71% | 2.4% | 2026-10-14 01:45 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80% | 2.5% | 2026-10-14 01:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45% | 3.0% | 2026-10-14 01:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00% | 4.2% | 2026-10-14 01:50 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.30% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.69% | 1.7% | 2026-10-14 01:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.96% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.37% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.67% | 2.9% | 2026-10-14 01:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.96% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.37% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.67% | 2.9% | 2026-10-14 01:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.96% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.37% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.67% | 2.9% | 2026-10-14 01:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.32% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.44% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.25% | 4.5% | 2026-10-14 01:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73% | 4.6% | 2026-10-13 22:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.24% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.13% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.63% | 4.7% | 2026-10-14 01:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71% | 5.0% | 2026-10-14 01:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71% | 5.0% | 2026-10-14 01:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71% | 5.0% | 2026-10-14 01:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71% | 5.0% | 2026-10-14 01:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87% | 6.5% | 2026-10-14 01:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32% | 6.6% | 2026-10-13 20:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.98% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.42% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60% | 6.9% | 2026-10-14 01:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25% | 7.5% | 2026-10-14 01:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13% | 8.8% | 2026-10-14 01:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85% | 9.0% | 2026-10-14 01:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.19% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80% | 9.2% | 2026-10-14 01:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99% | 10.9% | 2026-10-14 01:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.13% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.53% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.34% | 14.8% | 2026-10-14 01:29 |