The School of Odds
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TUTO Hockey v Kiekko-Vantaa

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

TUTO Hockey (Local)

Prediction 54.07%1.85fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -3.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.94%54.07%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.741.731.8058.48%57.60%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kiekko-Vantaa (Visit)

Prediction 45.93%2.18fair odd
EV -5.38%
Edge -2.61%
Kelly -5.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.36%46.06%45.93%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.002.002.0651.28%50.08%50.00%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TUTO Hockey (Local): 54.07%; Kiekko-Vantaa (Visit): 45.93%. For TUTO Hockey (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.85. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.80, with an expected value of -2.67%; they did not produce positive expected value.

11 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.67%E -1.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.44%E -5.35%K -10.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-03 19:47
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.44%E -5.35%K -10.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-03 16:40
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.44%E -5.35%K -10.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-03 16:40
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -5.92%E -3.40%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -9.98%E -5.09%K -10.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-02 22:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.46%E -3.73%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-03 04:45
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.46%E -3.73%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-03 05:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.46%E -3.73%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.14%E -4.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-03 05:00
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -5.38%E -2.61%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 07:00
NordicBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.84%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 15:54
Betsson🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.84%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 15:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (11)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%8.5%2026-03-02 22:35
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%8.5%2026-03-02 22:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%8.5%2026-03-02 22:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%8.5%2026-03-02 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%8.5%2026-03-02 22:35
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%8.5%2026-03-02 22:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%8.5%2026-03-02 22:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%8.5%2026-03-02 22:54
1xBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.52%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.40%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.08%8.9%2026-03-04 06:55
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%10.7%2026-03-03 23:00
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%14.3%2026-03-03 05:10