Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

TUTO Hockey v Ketterä

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

TUTO Hockey (Local)

Prediction 63.26%1.58fair odd
EV -5.11%
Edge -3.40%
Kelly -10.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%63.27%63.26%64.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.471.471.5069.93%68.24%68.03%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ketterä (Visit)

Prediction 36.74%2.72fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.38%36.73%36.74%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.562.552.6340.00%39.10%39.22%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TUTO Hockey (Local): 63.26%; Ketterä (Visit): 36.74%. For Ketterä (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.63, with an expected value of -3.38%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.11%E -3.40%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.16%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 10:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.11%E -3.40%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.16%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 10:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.11%E -3.40%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.16%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 10:50
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.32%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-26 10:49
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.32%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-26 10:50
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -7.00%E -4.76%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.75%EV -7.05%E -2.79%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-26 09:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.90%E -6.18%K -20.23%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -3.38%E -1.29%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-26 06:27
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.90%E -6.18%K -20.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.75%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-26 06:15
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.90%E -6.18%K -20.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -4.48%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-26 11:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.90%E -6.18%K -20.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -4.48%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-26 11:50
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.53%E -6.67%K -22.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -6.32%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-26 10:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%7.6%2026-09-26 10:49
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.07%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.72%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.21%8.9%2026-09-26 10:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%8.9%2026-09-26 10:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%8.9%2026-09-26 10:50
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%8.9%2026-09-26 10:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%8.9%2026-09-26 10:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%8.9%2026-09-26 10:50
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%8.9%2026-09-26 10:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%8.9%2026-09-26 10:50
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.35%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.32%11.7%2026-09-26 10:50