The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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RoKi v Pyry

Kickoff: 2026-10-16 15:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

RoKi (Local)

Prediction 63.20%1.58fair odd
EV -4.57%
Edge -3.02%
Kelly -8.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.88%63.57%63.20%66.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.451.441.5172.46%69.07%69.44%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pyry (Visit)

Prediction 36.80%2.72fair odd
EV +3.04%
Edge +1.09%
Kelly +1.69%
Growth +0.051%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.01%36.43%36.80%39.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.612.622.8042.55%38.28%38.17%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: RoKi (Local): 63.20%; Pyry (Visit): 36.80%. For Pyry (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.72. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.04%.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.52%E -8.23%K -28.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +3.04%E +1.09%K +1.69%G +0.051%7.1%2026-10-15 20:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.52%E -8.23%K -28.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +3.04%E +1.09%K +1.69%G +0.051%7.1%2026-10-15 20:30
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -12.78%E -9.26%K -33.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV +3.04%E +1.09%K +1.69%G +0.051%8.2%2026-10-16 15:00
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.99%E -6.24%K -20.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.58%E -1.37%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-16 04:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.99%E -6.24%K -20.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.58%E -1.37%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-16 04:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.99%E -6.24%K -20.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.58%E -1.37%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-16 04:35
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -4.57%E -3.02%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-16 10:05
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -4.57%E -3.02%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-16 09:50
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -4.57%E -3.02%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -13.52%E -5.75%K -10.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-16 03:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.77%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%7.5%2026-10-16 03:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.77%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%7.5%2026-10-16 03:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.77%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%7.5%2026-10-16 03:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.77%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%7.5%2026-10-16 03:40
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.77%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%7.5%2026-10-16 03:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.77%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%7.5%2026-10-16 03:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.77%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%7.5%2026-10-16 03:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%8.3%2026-10-16 15:10
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.18%8.9%2026-10-16 14:55
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.31%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.95%11.0%2026-10-16 15:10