The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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RoKi v Kiekko-Vantaa

Kickoff: 2026-10-02 15:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

RoKi (Local)

Prediction 52.47%1.91fair odd
EV -5.03%
Edge -2.78%
Kelly -6.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.48%52.45%52.47%53.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.781.801.8158.14%56.32%55.56%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kiekko-Vantaa (Visit)

Prediction 47.53%2.10fair odd
EV -4.94%
Edge -2.47%
Kelly -4.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.61%47.55%47.53%48.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.951.932.0052.36%51.36%51.81%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: RoKi (Local): 52.47%; Kiekko-Vantaa (Visit): 47.53%. For Kiekko-Vantaa (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.10. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.00, with an expected value of -4.94%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -5.03%E -2.78%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.26%E -4.28%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-02 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.22%E -4.82%K -10.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-01 03:35
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.22%E -4.82%K -10.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-01 03:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.22%E -4.82%K -10.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-01 03:35
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.18%E -4.67%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-02 14:45
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.18%E -4.67%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-02 09:45
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -9.75%E -5.67%K -13.55%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -6.36%E -3.23%K -6.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-01 15:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (UK)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.69%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%8.1%2026-10-02 10:20
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%8.9%2026-10-01 15:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%8.9%2026-10-01 15:54
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%8.9%2026-10-01 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%8.9%2026-10-01 15:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%8.9%2026-10-01 15:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%8.9%2026-10-01 15:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%8.9%2026-10-01 15:54
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.22%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%9.7%2026-10-02 15:23
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%11.1%2026-10-02 10:20