The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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RoKi v Ketterä

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

RoKi (Local)

Prediction 54.38%1.84fair odd
EV -5.38%
Edge -3.09%
Kelly -7.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%54.39%54.38%54.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.711.711.7458.82%58.45%58.65%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ketterä (Visit)

Prediction 45.62%2.19fair odd
EV -6.47%
Edge -3.16%
Kelly -6.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.33%45.61%45.62%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.052.052.0549.50%48.85%48.78%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: RoKi (Local): 54.38%; Ketterä (Visit): 45.62%. For RoKi (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.84. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.74, with an expected value of -5.38%; they did not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 16:25
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.47%E -3.76%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 11:30
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.47%E -3.76%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 06:05
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.47%E -3.76%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 06:05
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -7.02%E -4.10%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -7.84%E -3.88%K -7.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 06:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.56%E -4.45%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 11:30
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.56%E -4.45%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 11:30
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.56%E -4.45%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 16:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.56%E -4.45%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.56%E -4.45%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 16:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%8.5%2026-03-06 06:05
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%8.5%2026-03-06 06:05
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%8.5%2026-03-06 06:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%8.5%2026-03-06 06:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%8.5%2026-03-06 06:05
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%8.5%2026-03-06 06:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%8.5%2026-03-06 06:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%8.5%2026-03-06 06:05
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.31%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.26%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.42%8.9%2026-03-06 11:30