The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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RoKi v Ketterä

Kickoff: 2026-03-10 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

RoKi (Local)

Prediction 56.87%1.76fair odd
EV -3.32%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -4.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.67%56.87%56.87%58.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.641.611.7062.11%60.89%62.11%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ketterä (Visit)

Prediction 43.13%2.32fair odd
EV -3.82%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -3.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.93%43.13%43.13%45.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.152.202.2348.78%46.46%45.45%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: RoKi (Local): 56.87%; Ketterä (Visit): 43.13%. For RoKi (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.70, with an expected value of -3.32%; they did not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.32%E -1.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.59%E -5.65%K -11.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 15:39
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.32%E -1.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.59%E -5.65%K -11.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 15:39
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -4.46%E -2.65%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.33%EV -9.00%E -4.26%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 16:25
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.16%E -3.73%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.43%E -4.49%K -8.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 16:05
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -8.44%E -5.24%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 10:49
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -8.44%E -5.24%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 10:49
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.44%E -5.24%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.12%E -2.33%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.44%E -5.24%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.12%E -2.33%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.44%E -5.24%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.12%E -2.33%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 16:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%8.2%2026-03-10 16:05
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%8.2%2026-03-10 16:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%8.2%2026-03-10 16:05
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%8.2%2026-03-10 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%8.2%2026-03-10 16:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%8.2%2026-03-10 16:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%8.2%2026-03-10 16:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%8.2%2026-03-10 16:05
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.31%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.15%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%8.9%2026-03-10 16:20