Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.11
assuming max odds 1.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pyry (Local): 44.33%; RoKi (Visit): 55.67%. For RoKi (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.70, with an expected value of -5.35%; they did not produce positive expected value.
9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -6.47%E -3.07%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -7.02%E -4.21%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-25 12:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.92%E -3.29%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.02%E -4.21%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-25 12:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.92%E -3.29%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.02%E -4.21%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-25 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.92%E -3.29%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.02%E -4.21%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-25 12:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.80%E -3.75%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.35%E -3.15%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-25 11:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.80%E -3.75%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.35%E -3.15%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-25 11:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -8.25%E -3.98%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -8.14%E -4.93%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-25 14:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.82% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.29% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89% | 7.5% | 2026-09-25 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.34% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36% | 9.1% | 2026-09-25 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.34% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36% | 9.1% | 2026-09-25 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.34% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36% | 9.1% | 2026-09-25 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.34% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36% | 9.1% | 2026-09-25 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.34% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36% | 9.1% | 2026-09-25 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.34% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36% | 9.1% | 2026-09-25 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.34% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36% | 9.1% | 2026-09-25 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.84% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42% | 11.5% | 2026-09-25 12:40 |