The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Pyry v Kiekko-Vantaa

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pyry (Local)

Prediction 38.16%2.62fair odd
EV -3.84%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -2.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.16%38.36%38.16%39.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.332.422.382.5242.92%41.32%42.02%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kiekko-Vantaa (Visit)

Prediction 61.84%1.62fair odd
EV -4.15%
Edge -2.67%
Kelly -7.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.05%61.64%61.84%62.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.521.531.5567.57%65.83%65.36%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pyry (Local): 38.16%; Kiekko-Vantaa (Visit): 61.84%. For Pyry (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.52, with an expected value of -3.84%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV -3.84%E -1.52%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.84%EV -7.86%E -5.27%K -16.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 13:55
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV -3.84%E -1.52%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.84%EV -7.86%E -5.27%K -16.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 13:55
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.47%E -5.73%K -17.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 14:20
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.38%E -3.52%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 13:53
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.18%E -3.86%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.38%E -3.52%K -10.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.18%E -3.86%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.38%E -3.52%K -10.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 14:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.18%E -3.86%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.38%E -3.52%K -10.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.57%E -4.04%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.38%E -3.52%K -10.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 13:34
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.57%E -4.04%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.38%E -3.52%K -10.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 13:34
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -11.09%E -4.76%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -4.15%E -2.67%K -7.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 14:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%8.5%2026-02-27 14:19
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%8.5%2026-02-27 14:19
Unibet (NL)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%8.5%2026-02-27 14:19
LeoVegas🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%8.5%2026-02-27 14:19
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%8.5%2026-02-27 14:19
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%8.5%2026-02-27 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%8.5%2026-02-27 14:19
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%8.5%2026-02-27 14:19
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%9.7%2026-02-27 14:19
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%10.9%2026-02-27 14:20