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Pyry v Hermes

2026-11-14 15:00 UTC — Mestis

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pyry (Local)

Prediction 38.14%2.62fair odd
EV -4.66%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -3.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%38.14%38.14%38.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.472.502.5041.67%40.54%40.00%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hermes (Visit)

Prediction 61.86%1.62fair odd
EV -5.97%
Edge -3.93%
Kelly -11.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.22%61.86%61.86%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.501.501.5266.67%66.52%66.67%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Pyry (Local): 38.14%; Hermes (Visit): 61.86%. For Pyry (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.50, with an expected value of -4.66%; they do not produce positive expected value.

4 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.66%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.21%E -4.80%K -14.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-13 19:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.66%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.21%E -4.80%K -14.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-13 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.66%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.21%E -4.80%K -14.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-13 19:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.66%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.21%E -4.80%K -14.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-13 21:05
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.97%E -3.93%K -11.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-13 20:50
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.21%E -4.80%K -14.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-13 19:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (4)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (UK)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.38%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%8.1%2026-11-13 19:20
1xBet🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 28.08%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.72%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%8.9%2026-11-13 20:53
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%11.1%2026-11-13 21:35
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%11.9%2026-11-13 20:35

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