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Kiekko-Vantaa v TUTO Hockey

Kickoff: 2026-03-09 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kiekko-Vantaa (Local)

Prediction 58.32%1.71fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -3.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%58.27%58.32%60.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.611.601.6764.94%62.20%62.50%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

TUTO Hockey (Visit)

Prediction 41.68%2.40fair odd
EV -0.810%
Edge -0.340%
Kelly -0.587%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.29%41.73%41.68%44.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.212.202.3847.62%45.20%45.45%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kiekko-Vantaa (Local): 58.32%; TUTO Hockey (Visit): 41.68%. For TUTO Hockey (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.40. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.38, with an expected value of -0.810%; they did not produce positive expected value.

11 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -12.48%E -5.94%K -11.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 16:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -12.48%E -5.94%K -11.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -12.48%E -5.94%K -11.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 16:20
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 16:20
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 16:19
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -9.02%E -5.78%K -16.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-09 16:14
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -10.18%E -6.61%K -18.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -0.810%E -0.340%K -0.587%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 08:14
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -10.18%E -6.61%K -18.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -0.810%E -0.340%K -0.587%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 08:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (11)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.55%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%8.4%2026-03-09 16:15
LeoVegas🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.68%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%8.7%2026-03-09 16:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.68%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%8.7%2026-03-09 16:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.68%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%8.7%2026-03-09 16:15
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.68%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%8.7%2026-03-09 16:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.68%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%8.7%2026-03-09 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.68%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%8.7%2026-03-09 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.68%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%8.7%2026-03-09 16:14
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.90%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.95%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.15%8.8%2026-03-09 16:14
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%10.7%2026-03-09 08:13
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%10.7%2026-03-08 22:59