The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Kiekko-Vantaa v KeuPa HT

Kickoff: 2026-10-15 15:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kiekko-Vantaa (Local)

Prediction 67.64%1.48fair odd
EV -5.31%
Edge -3.79%
Kelly -13.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.67%67.69%67.64%69.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.371.361.4075.19%72.94%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KeuPa HT (Visit)

Prediction 32.36%3.09fair odd
EV -2.91%
Edge -0.969%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.72%32.31%32.36%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.782.902.953.0035.97%34.45%33.90%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kiekko-Vantaa (Local): 67.64%; KeuPa HT (Visit): 32.36%. For KeuPa HT (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.09. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -2.91%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.31%E -3.79%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.38%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 14:30
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.31%E -3.79%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.38%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 14:30
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.31%E -3.79%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.38%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 08:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.31%E -3.79%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.38%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 08:35
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.67%EV -5.99%E -4.31%K -15.35%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -10.03%E -3.61%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 11:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.02%E -5.89%K -22.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.91%E -0.969%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-15 15:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.02%E -5.89%K -22.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.91%E -0.969%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-15 15:25
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.02%E -5.89%K -22.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.91%E -0.969%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-15 15:25
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.69%E -6.44%K -24.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -4.53%E -1.53%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-14 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.04%E -7.55%K -30.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -2.91%E -0.969%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-15 09:24
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.04%E -7.55%K -30.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -2.91%E -0.969%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-15 09:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%7.3%2026-10-15 09:25
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%7.9%2026-10-14 19:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%8.3%2026-10-14 19:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%8.3%2026-10-14 19:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%8.3%2026-10-14 19:29
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%8.3%2026-10-14 19:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%8.3%2026-10-14 19:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%8.3%2026-10-14 19:29
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.39%3.89I 25.71%NM 23.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%8.8%2026-10-15 11:09
Betway🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.12%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%10.1%2026-10-15 09:25