The School of Odds
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Kiekko-Vantaa v Ketterä

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 15:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kiekko-Vantaa (Local)

Prediction 59.68%1.68fair odd
EV -5.11%
Edge -3.21%
Kelly -8.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.90%59.68%59.43%60.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.561.571.5964.94%64.02%63.69%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ketterä (Visit)

Prediction 40.32%2.48fair odd
EV -4.04%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -2.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.29%40.32%40.57%41.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.312.302.3844.44%43.37%43.48%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kiekko-Vantaa (Local): 59.68%; Ketterä (Visit): 40.32%. For Ketterä (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.48. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.38, with an expected value of -4.04%; they did not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.11%E -3.21%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.27%E -3.16%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 14:59
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.30%E -4.01%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.27%E -3.16%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.30%E -4.01%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.27%E -3.16%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.30%E -4.01%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.27%E -3.16%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:59
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.30%E -4.01%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.28%E -4.13%K -7.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 14:59
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.30%E -4.01%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.28%E -4.13%K -7.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 15:00
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.27%E -3.16%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.27%E -3.16%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:59
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -8.09%E -5.25%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.04%E -1.70%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 15:00
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -8.09%E -5.25%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.04%E -1.70%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 15:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.79%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%8.5%2026-02-21 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.92%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%8.7%2026-02-21 15:00
LeoVegas🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.92%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%8.7%2026-02-21 15:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.92%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%8.7%2026-02-21 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.92%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%8.7%2026-02-21 15:00
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.92%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%8.7%2026-02-21 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.92%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%8.7%2026-02-21 14:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.92%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%8.7%2026-02-21 15:00
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.14%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.99%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%8.8%2026-02-21 14:57