Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.60
assuming max odds 2.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kiekko-Vantaa (Local): 59.01%; JoKP (Visit): 40.99%. For JoKP (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.48%.
10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -11.49%E -7.66%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +2.48%E +0.990%K +1.65%G +0.041% | 6.7% | 2026-09-16 15:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -9.72%E -6.35%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -2.85%E -1.20%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-15 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -9.72%E -6.35%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -2.85%E -1.20%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-15 09:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -4.90%E -2.11%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-16 15:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -9.13%E -5.93%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -6.54%E -2.87%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 01:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -8.18%E -3.65%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 11:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66% | 7.7% | 2026-09-16 13:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 30.74% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 13:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.56% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 01:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.69% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.29% | 9.2% | 2026-09-14 01:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.69% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.29% | 9.2% | 2026-09-14 01:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.69% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.29% | 9.2% | 2026-09-14 01:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.69% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.29% | 9.2% | 2026-09-14 01:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.69% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.29% | 9.2% | 2026-09-14 01:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.69% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.29% | 9.2% | 2026-09-14 01:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.39% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14% | 10.3% | 2026-09-16 15:30 |