Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ketterä v IPK

2026-09-18 15:30 UTC — Mestis

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ketterä (Local)

Prediction 46.28%2.16fair odd
EV -6.52%
Edge -3.23%
Kelly -6.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.28%46.28%46.28%46.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.022.022.0249.50%49.50%49.50%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IPK (Visit)

Prediction 53.72%1.86fair odd
EV -6.52%
Edge -3.75%
Kelly -8.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.72%53.72%53.72%53.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.741.741.7457.47%57.47%57.47%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Ketterä (Local): 46.28%; IPK (Visit): 53.72%. For IPK (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.86. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.74, with an expected value of -6.52%; they do not produce positive expected value.

2 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -6.52%E -3.23%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -6.52%E -3.75%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 16:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (2)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%8.7%2026-09-15 16:05
1xBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.78%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.24%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.98%9.6%2026-09-15 16:02