The School of Odds
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Ketterä v Hermes

2026-10-31 15:00 UTC — Mestis

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ketterä (Local)

Prediction 48.32%2.07fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -3.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%48.32%48.32%48.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.931.912.0052.36%51.79%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hermes (Visit)

Prediction 51.68%1.94fair odd
EV -6.98%
Edge -3.88%
Kelly -8.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.48%51.68%51.68%53.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.791.801.8057.80%55.99%55.56%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Ketterä (Local): 48.32%; Hermes (Visit): 51.68%. For Ketterä (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.07. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.00, with an expected value of -3.35%; they do not produce positive expected value.

3 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.35%E -1.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.60%E -6.13%K -14.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-30 19:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.35%E -1.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.60%E -6.13%K -14.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-30 19:35
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -6.25%E -3.22%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 20:35
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-30 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-30 19:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-30 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-30 20:05
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-30 20:04
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-30 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-30 20:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (3)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44%8.7%2026-10-30 19:20
1xBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.22%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%9.7%2026-10-30 19:30
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%11.1%2026-10-30 22:25