The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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JoKP v Pyry

Kickoff: 2026-10-22 15:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

JoKP (Local)

Prediction 72.17%1.39fair odd
EV -4.01%
Edge -3.02%
Kelly -12.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.63%72.04%72.17%74.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.291.291.3380.65%77.46%77.22%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pyry (Visit)

Prediction 27.83%3.59fair odd
EV -0.927%
Edge -0.260%
Kelly -0.362%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.83%27.96%27.83%30.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.363.383.5632.79%29.75%29.63%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: JoKP (Local): 72.17%; Pyry (Visit): 27.83%. For Pyry (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.59. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.56, with an expected value of -0.927%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -4.01%E -3.02%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -15.12%E -4.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-22 07:55
Betsson🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.46%E -4.17%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -9.55%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-22 15:25
NordicBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.46%E -4.17%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -9.55%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-22 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.18%E -4.75%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.55%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-22 10:55
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.18%E -4.75%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.55%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-22 10:55
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.90%E -5.35%K -23.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.60%E -0.742%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-22 10:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.90%E -5.35%K -23.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.60%E -0.742%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-22 10:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.90%E -5.35%K -23.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.60%E -0.742%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-22 10:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -9.79%E -7.83%K -39.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -2.60%E -0.742%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-22 13:35
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.17%EV -10.51%E -8.47%K -43.79%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 25.83%EV -0.927%E -0.260%K -0.362%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-22 15:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%8.2%2026-10-22 07:55
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%8.2%2026-10-22 07:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%8.2%2026-10-22 07:55
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%8.2%2026-10-22 07:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%8.2%2026-10-22 07:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%8.2%2026-10-22 07:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%8.2%2026-10-22 07:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.33%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.22%8.4%2026-10-22 13:34
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.27%4.94I 20.24%NM 18.57%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.17%9.0%2026-10-22 14:45
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%11.7%2026-10-22 13:35