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JoKP v Pyry
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
JoKP (Local)
assuming max odds 1.50
Pyry (Visit)
assuming max odds 2.62
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: JoKP (Local): 62.68%; Pyry (Visit): 37.32%. For Pyry (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.62, with an expected value of -2.23%; they did not produce positive expected value.
9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.98%E -3.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.44%E -4.35%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-18 10:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -6.60%E -4.43%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -7.45%E -3.00%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -8.48%E -5.81%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -2.97%E -1.14%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -8.48%E -5.81%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -2.97%E -1.14%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.74%E -6.76%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.23%E -0.850%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-17 05:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.74%E -6.76%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.23%E -0.850%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-17 05:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.15% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14% | 7.9% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.95% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 10:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.95% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 10:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.95% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 10:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.95% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 10:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.95% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 10:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.95% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 10:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.95% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 10:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89% | 11.7% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |