Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

JoKP v Kiekko-Vantaa

2026-09-26 14:00 UTC — Mestis

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

JoKP (Local)

Prediction 56.67%1.76fair odd
EV -5.37%
Edge -3.21%
Kelly -8.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.11%56.67%56.67%58.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.611.601.6763.69%61.98%62.50%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kiekko-Vantaa (Visit)

Prediction 43.33%2.31fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -2.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.10%43.33%43.33%44.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.182.232.2548.78%45.94%44.84%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: JoKP (Local): 56.67%; Kiekko-Vantaa (Visit): 43.33%. For Kiekko-Vantaa (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.31. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.25, with an expected value of -2.50%; they do not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -11.17%E -5.45%K -10.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-25 19:45
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.56%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -3.37%E -1.51%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-25 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.03%E -7.03%K -19.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-25 23:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (UK)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.29%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%7.4%2026-09-25 23:39
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.38%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%8.8%2026-09-25 23:34
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%9.2%2026-09-25 19:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%9.2%2026-09-25 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%9.2%2026-09-25 19:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%9.2%2026-09-25 19:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%9.2%2026-09-25 19:45
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%9.2%2026-09-25 19:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%9.2%2026-09-25 19:50
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%10.9%2026-09-25 23:45