Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.22
assuming max odds 4.55
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jokerit (Local): 76.78%; Ketterä (Visit): 23.22%. For Ketterä (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.31. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.64%.
10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -10.93%E -9.42%K -68.32%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.32%EV +5.64%E +1.24%K +1.59%G +0.089% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 03:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -10.93%E -9.42%K -68.32%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.32%EV +5.64%E +1.24%K +1.59%G +0.089% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 03:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.16%E -8.69%K -59.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +4.48%E +0.995%K +1.28%G +0.057% | 7.7% | 2026-03-27 11:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.16%E -8.69%K -59.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +4.48%E +0.995%K +1.28%G +0.057% | 7.7% | 2026-03-27 11:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.32%E -5.18%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.13%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 12:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.32%E -5.18%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.13%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 15:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.32%E -5.18%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.13%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 15:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.94%EV -8.63%E -7.25%K -45.41%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.06%EV -7.83%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-27 23:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%EV -7.86%E -6.55%K -39.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -10.62%E -2.76%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-27 12:14 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39% | 8.5% | 2026-03-27 12:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39% | 8.5% | 2026-03-27 12:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39% | 8.5% | 2026-03-27 12:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39% | 8.5% | 2026-03-27 12:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39% | 8.5% | 2026-03-27 12:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39% | 8.5% | 2026-03-27 12:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39% | 8.5% | 2026-03-27 15:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39% | 8.5% | 2026-03-27 15:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.12% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 13.77% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.11% | 8.9% | 2026-03-27 23:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88% | 11.9% | 2026-03-27 12:13 |