The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Jokerit v Ketterä

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jokerit (Local)

Prediction 81.58%1.23fair odd
EV -5.36%
Edge -4.62%
Kelly -33.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.60%81.58%81.43%84.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.141.141.1690.91%87.80%87.72%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ketterä (Visit)

Prediction 18.42%5.43fair odd
EV +12.34%
Edge +2.02%
Kelly +2.42%
Growth +0.298%

assuming max odds 6.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.28%18.42%18.57%21.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.265.045.006.1023.47%19.84%20.00%16.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jokerit (Local): 81.58%; Ketterä (Visit): 18.42%. For Ketterä (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.43. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.34%.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -10.26%E -9.32%K -102.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV +12.34%E +2.02%K +2.42%G +0.298%7.3%2026-02-28 10:15
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 08:18
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.99%E -6.13%K -49.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 07:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.99%E -6.13%K -49.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 08:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.99%E -6.13%K -49.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 07:59
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.99%E -6.13%K -49.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 09:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.99%E -6.13%K -49.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 07:59
Coral🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.99%E -6.13%K -49.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 07:59
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.60%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.51%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 21.40%EV -21.55%E -5.06%K -6.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 09:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.64%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%8.7%2026-02-28 10:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.64%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%8.7%2026-02-28 10:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.64%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%8.7%2026-02-28 10:15
Unibet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.64%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%8.7%2026-02-28 10:15
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.64%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%8.7%2026-02-28 10:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.64%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%8.7%2026-02-28 10:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.64%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%8.7%2026-02-28 10:15
Grosvenor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.64%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%8.7%2026-02-28 10:15
1xBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.01%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.19%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%9.0%2026-02-28 09:39