Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.17
assuming max odds 5.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jokerit (Local): 79.84%; JoKP (Visit): 20.16%. For JoKP (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.96. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.813%.
9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +0.813%E +0.163%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 7.7% | 2026-03-02 12:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +0.813%E +0.163%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 7.7% | 2026-03-02 12:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -10.58%E -9.45%K -88.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV +0.813%E +0.163%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 9.3% | 2026-03-01 17:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.59%E -5.63%K -38.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -4.23%E -0.890%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-02 14:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.59%E -5.63%K -38.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -7.25%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-02 13:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.59%E -5.63%K -38.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -7.25%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-02 13:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.59%E -5.63%K -38.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.27%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-02 06:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.09%EV -6.59%E -5.63%K -38.77%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 21.91%EV -15.92%E -3.82%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-02 13:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.27% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42% | 8.3% | 2026-03-01 17:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.27% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42% | 8.3% | 2026-03-01 17:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.27% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42% | 8.3% | 2026-03-01 17:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.27% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42% | 8.3% | 2026-03-01 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.27% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42% | 8.3% | 2026-03-01 17:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.27% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42% | 8.3% | 2026-03-01 17:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.27% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42% | 8.3% | 2026-03-01 17:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.27% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42% | 8.3% | 2026-03-01 17:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.77% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.25% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98% | 8.8% | 2026-03-02 15:44 |