The School of Odds
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IPK v TUTO Hockey

Kickoff: 2026-10-16 15:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IPK (Local)

Prediction 57.16%1.75fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -3.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.64%56.91%57.16%62.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.591.611.7167.57%62.71%62.11%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

TUTO Hockey (Visit)

Prediction 42.84%2.33fair odd
EV +4.96%
Edge +2.02%
Kelly +3.42%
Growth +0.169%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.66%43.09%42.84%45.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.222.202.4548.54%45.01%45.45%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IPK (Local): 57.16%; TUTO Hockey (Visit): 42.84%. For TUTO Hockey (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.96%.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -15.40%E -10.41%K -32.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV +4.96%E +2.02%K +3.42%G +0.169%8.4%2026-10-15 20:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -15.40%E -10.41%K -32.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV +4.96%E +2.02%K +3.42%G +0.169%8.4%2026-10-15 20:30
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.26%E -6.53%K -18.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.61%E -1.61%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-16 14:05
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -10.26%E -6.53%K -18.00%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -4.47%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-16 03:40
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.97%E -4.95%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.75%E -2.62%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-16 14:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.97%E -4.95%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.75%E -2.62%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-16 14:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.97%E -4.95%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.75%E -2.62%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-16 14:40
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.68%E -3.45%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.90%E -3.67%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-16 14:29
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.68%E -3.45%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.90%E -3.67%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-16 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.54%E -5.34%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.04%E -4.78%K -9.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-16 15:20
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -2.25%E -1.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -11.75%E -5.70%K -11.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-16 14:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.16%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%7.2%2026-10-16 14:35
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.93%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.29%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%7.5%2026-10-16 10:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.06%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%7.8%2026-10-16 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.06%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%7.8%2026-10-16 10:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.06%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%7.8%2026-10-16 10:30
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.06%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%7.8%2026-10-16 10:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.06%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%7.8%2026-10-16 10:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.06%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%7.8%2026-10-16 10:30
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%8.9%2026-10-16 14:35
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.53%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%12.6%2026-10-16 14:35