The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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IPK v RoKi

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IPK (Local)

Prediction 63.40%1.58fair odd
EV +1.43%
Edge +0.895%
Kelly +2.39%
Growth +0.034%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.89%63.40%62.91%64.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.521.501.6069.93%65.90%66.67%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

RoKi (Visit)

Prediction 36.60%2.73fair odd
EV -3.73%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -2.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.22%36.60%37.09%42.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.442.502.6345.45%41.05%40.00%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IPK (Local): 63.40%; RoKi (Visit): 36.60%. For IPK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.58. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.43%.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV +1.43%E +0.895%K +2.39%G +0.034%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -19.47%E -8.85%K -16.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 07:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV +1.43%E +0.895%K +2.39%G +0.034%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -19.47%E -8.85%K -16.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 07:59
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.01%E -1.96%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 12:25
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.91%E -3.27%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 12:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.91%E -3.27%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 12:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.91%E -3.27%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 12:30
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.91%EV -6.18%E -4.17%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.09%EV -8.12%E -3.24%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 12:20
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -9.34%E -6.53%K -21.73%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 12:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%8.9%2026-02-28 12:20
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%8.9%2026-02-28 12:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%8.9%2026-02-28 12:20
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%8.9%2026-02-28 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%8.9%2026-02-28 12:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%8.9%2026-02-28 12:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%8.9%2026-02-28 12:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%8.9%2026-02-28 12:30
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%9.0%2026-02-28 12:30
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.08%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%10.6%2026-02-28 12:20